Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49a1be69f9c3f31e949b6616d14ab7c15d82456b120e1ffa3de73ebe9af8727d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 51c | 9,513$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.83 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 46c | 4,456$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.8 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 3,331$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 6c | 3,206$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.38 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 3,097$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.82 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 47c | 2,590$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.55 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,978$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 1,257$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.34 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…618abacked No | 12c | 1,200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +267.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 1,114$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed No | 14c | 801.9$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 53c | 704.56$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.14 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked No | 13c | 650$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 48c | 628.83$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.15 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 10c | 600$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 52c | 599.72$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.87 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 591.29$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.15 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 48c | 532.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.79 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed No | 15c | 450$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 425.34$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Yes | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked No | 58c | 412.42$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 54c | 388.96$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.92 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 382.47$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.09 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed Yes | 48c | 345.04$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.47 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked No | 58c | 336.19$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Yes | 46c | 320.07$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 56c | 302.17$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 11c | 300$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +128%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 46c | 299.2$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 73c | 294$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 11c | 265$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.85 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 47c | 231.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 22c | 217.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked No | 80c | 200.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…e20dbacked Yes | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 54c | 181.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 165.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 40c | 161.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed No | 54c | 141.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 61c | 138.68$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 41c | 134.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 9c | 133.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 74c | 104.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 52c | 104.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 54c | 103.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 86.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 84.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 55c | 73.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 48c | 70.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 44c | 66.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 48c | 64.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f71…9a06backed Yes | 46c | 63.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed No | 36c | 62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c0…f295backed Yes | 44c | 59.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 23c | 54.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 49c | 49.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 46c | 49.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 49c | 43.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 55c | 42.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 46c | 41.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked No | 55c | 41.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed No | 54c | 36.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 46c | 35.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 46c | 34.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Yes | 46c | 33.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…5b98backed No | 57c | 33.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed No | 56c | 33.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed No | 53c | 31.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 30.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Yes | 47c | 30.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe96a…7e95backed Yes | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Yes | 47c | 28.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 46c | 28.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 46c | 28.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 46c | 28.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 46c | 28.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 25.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 57c | 24.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 57c | 24.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 57c | 24.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 57c | 24.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 80c | 20.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed No | 53c | 19.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 57c | 17.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 57c | 17.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 57c | 17.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 57c | 17.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 57c | 17.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-04-10?this page
- Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-04-10?Yes won
- Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. Holstein Kiel end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.