Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde5c0a4b28da48c9ed80596e1bfe645f48857ed16d5574a31c35c4f4ac57bb54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 4,548$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.69 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 3,163$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.33 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 24c | 3,000$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.39 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 76c | 1,062$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.39 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 764.65$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.91 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed No | 35c | 562.72$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 75c | 528.13$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.31 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 32c | 519$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 472.72$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.4 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 77c | 330.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.86 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked No | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 296.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.75 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 29c | 296$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.23 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 23c | 219.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…ae44backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 167.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed No | 77c | 165.49$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.43 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 152.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 124$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 55c | 109.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 109.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 47c | 104.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…3a62backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 23c | 86.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 25c | 80.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 28c | 61.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 57.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 32c | 53.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 23c | 46.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 75c | 45.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 36.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 29.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 77c | 28.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…98fcbacked No | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 49c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…5d2dbacked Yes | 77c | 20.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 71c | 19.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 18.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 60c | 16.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.