South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cusco FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1432f64cdb1e1d8f18c8580750527a4cf1f3f2408ad6c41eb0efa7bc0e4db02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 29c | 1,994$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.29 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 1,517$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.08 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 1,075$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.73 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 62c | 992.74$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.56 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 36c | 673.12$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.32 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 607.38$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.14 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 21c | 476.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 36c | 447.64$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 346$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 293.26$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 273.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 29c | 244.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 222.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 208.92$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 197.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 71c | 180.09$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes | 45c | 138.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 39c | 123.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 39c | 123.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 39c | 123.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 39c | 123.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 103$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 39c | 97.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 39c | 97.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 30c | 79.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…6d93backed No | 63c | 77.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 30c | 77.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 68.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 40c | 65.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 41c | 49.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 45.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes | 30c | 41.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 40c | 31.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…5da3backed No | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 71c | 26.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 71c | 24.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615c…c1a8backed No | 71c | 23.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cusco FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-08?Yes won
- Will Cusco FC win on 2026-04-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.