TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,391 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed No35c13,820$4,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,837.1718352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes65c9,000$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1508153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No16c7,534$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.065,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No18c4,405$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.158,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes64c3,900$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.4120046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Yes66c3,471$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.33875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No16c3,345$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.8449449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No15c2,379$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.171,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No36c1,528$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.2437851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No23c1,273$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7414022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No13c1,076$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.711,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked No38c999.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes65c984.32$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.513225%8 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No21c967.47$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0728231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes64c954$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.168530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked No6c935.68$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No37c784.75$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.363151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes65c719$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.3219239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes63c672.29$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2981651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No13c653.12$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5681740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c598.25$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.593,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd64b…873cbacked No38c597.46$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b41…764cbacked Yes72c556.4$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No19c429.86$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.418248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No9c419.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0713548.9%66 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes65c407.69$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.697745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15217066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes64c397$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9217946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes58c386.95$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.522864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes65c384.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.624141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No37c382.56$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1910846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No36c328.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2645253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Yes65c327.95$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.781735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-37.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No19c314.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6827053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No17c307.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.241,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246119.7%12 W · 49 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes64c270.31$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.321,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed No38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.770055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.12070%14 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4213…6940backed Yes66c229.26$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.951866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No36c215.97$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4213545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7039853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7011963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes63c198.41$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.414456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e07…0163backed Yes64c187.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No10c179.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3921132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked No9c169.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.663881.6%31 W · 7 L+10.2wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+44.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x9a94…b335backed Yes65c154$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.93145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No35c150.74$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5231226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No17c148.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6549535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed No15c143.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.712642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+80.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed No18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258263.4%52 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No25c133.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.743,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2572…cdafbacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No36c119$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5317560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08fb…a4bdbacked No37c114$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed6d…d729backed Yes63c113.49$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3daa…f1c8backed Yes59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed No36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1471…679dbacked Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Yes63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.24887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick71cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked No29c92.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.821050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Yes64c88.12$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.692544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No23c85.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.921,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Yes61c82.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.262236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No17c81.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.781,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No37c80.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.867548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31bb…3dbabacked Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes63c78.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.092979.3%23 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+73.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.924055%22 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes63c76.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.891,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes59c73.92$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.313256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e78…f0c6backed Yes64c73.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae3…af5dbacked Yes63c71.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No36c66.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6833745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes58c66.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8155155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Yes65c64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.45251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8393…4f91backed No27c63.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.182236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No19c60.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6735758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes76c57.6$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.615158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8619…c45ebacked Yes65c56.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.92683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+48.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes65c56.02$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.614339.5%17 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x302c…108abacked Yes64c54.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209340.9%38 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes64c53.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.115251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.514254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.517950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No36c47.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.272,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes78c42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0714570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes80c41.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.258560%51 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No31c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5410157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.22250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6297…8e42backed Yes64c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.