Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22d29c60ac1cea941a0fadee254db484d0e7f52e0f2b1ca24a87a2fcebc57cbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,902 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 11,647$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,694.29 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 9,763$4,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,419.06 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 31c | 3,325$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.44 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 17c | 2,254$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.21 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 2,105$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.94 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 1,719$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.6 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 70c | 967.54$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 65c | 678.01$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.36 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 12c | 507.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3e…ca47backed Yes | 72c | 392.88$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes | 71c | 345.07$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Yes | 70c | 317.29$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 49c | 293.24$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…a52ebacked No | 15c | 263.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 69c | 258.79$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 64c | 220.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.18 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 31c | 179.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 42c | 161.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 157.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 59c | 156.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 24c | 149.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Yes | 50c | 139.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…c82bbacked Yes | 69c | 116.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 66c | 112$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed No | 46c | 109.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 67c | 100.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 52c | 97.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 66c | 75.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 43c | 73.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…c50fbacked Yes | 55c | 73.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 33c | 65.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…a4d7backed Yes | 80c | 62.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 31c | 60.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 52c | 58.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 27c | 51.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed No | 27c | 51.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…4761backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes | 30c | 49.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 71c | 49.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 67c | 44.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked No | 52c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 68c | 41.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 73c | 33.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 76c | 31.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…2139backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…9b55backed Yes | 58c | 24.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 76c | 21.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 72c | 18.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Metz win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.