Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd48ea3e7fe06341de79b1c7a95f6758bfda722ffcbdd54325e0b900087930426
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALIS VENTORUSof ALIS VENTORUS, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x974f…cd80backed ALIS VENTORUS | 21c | 4,173$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.96 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 3,855$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.06 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed ALIS VENTORUS | 29c | 3,681$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.06 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 2,090$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.78 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…e96fbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 41c | 2,013$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.62 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 51c | 1,881$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.64 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ALIS VENTORUS | 33c | 1,817$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.43 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,552$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALIS VENTORUS | 24c | 1,505$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.66 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,406$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.07 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked ALIS VENTORUS | 30c | 1,341$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.84 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 1,333$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.6 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked ALIS VENTORUS | 37c | 1,282$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.88 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 1,274$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.15 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ALIS VENTORUS | 36c | 1,205$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.8 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 68c | 1,095$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.96 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked ALIS VENTORUS | 38c | 1,045$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.27 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 1,004$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.21 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 909$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.73 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 899.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 25c | 891.29$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.47 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 823.24$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.43 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed ALIS VENTORUS | 70c | 799.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 782.36$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.39 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 25c | 769.27$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed ALIS VENTORUS | 45c | 743.53$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.69 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed ALIS VENTORUS | 27c | 717.75$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.96 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 710.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 560.8$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.17 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 70c | 518.99$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.93 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked ALIS VENTORUS | 40c | 487.33$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.59 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 476.6$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.12 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked ALIS VENTORUS | 38c | 440.62$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.72 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 422.05$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.52 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed ALIS VENTORUS | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 395.77$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.37 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 390.25$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.64 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 31c | 373.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.96 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 6c | 323.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.39 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 301.83$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 294.19$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.27 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ALIS VENTORUS | 26c | 280.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.08 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 275.91$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.41 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed ALIS VENTORUS | 65c | 250$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 28c | 245.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.34 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked ALIS VENTORUS | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 238.01$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.28 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 229.83$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 214.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 22c | 212.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5d87backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 207.74$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 202.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…09c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 196.76$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed ALIS VENTORUS | 70c | 185.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 180.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 105 | 61%64 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…b715backed ALIS VENTORUS | 21c | 178.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +365.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…7816backed ALIS VENTORUS | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked ALIS VENTORUS | 35c | 157.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed ALIS VENTORUS | 36c | 155.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 151.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…3ad8backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 149.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked ALIS VENTORUS | 11c | 148.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 133.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fd…b019backed ALIS VENTORUS | 39c | 133.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 129.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 128.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 126.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 34c | 126.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 124.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 25c | 122.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked ALIS VENTORUS | 38c | 121.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 30c | 120.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed ALIS VENTORUS | 59c | 118.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed ALIS VENTORUS | 29c | 112.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 105.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c49…bb2dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 100.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed ALIS VENTORUS | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed ALIS VENTORUS | 20c | 94.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed ALIS VENTORUS | 12c | 89.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +188%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ALIS VENTORUS | 32c | 83.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed ALIS VENTORUS | 71c | 83.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed ALIS VENTORUS | 42c | 82.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed ALIS VENTORUS | 42c | 82.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked ALIS VENTORUS | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4898…a723backed ALIS VENTORUS | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ALIS VENTORUS | 49c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed ALIS VENTORUS | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…737abacked ALIS VENTORUS | 28c | 69.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed ALIS VENTORUS | 71c | 69.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 56c | 68.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked ALIS VENTORUS | 47c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 58.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 53.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked ALIS VENTORUS | 30c | 52.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerALIS VENTORUS won
- Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.