TailMyPicks
Market

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof Rune Eaters, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x124e…6802backed BetBoom Team78c2,301$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.8513068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BetBoom Team75c1,862$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.3679959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters22c1,429$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.8267043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11c…e96fbacked BetBoom Team78c1,138$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.481973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters23c801.91$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.072,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Rune Eaters22c644.08$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.211,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Rune Eaters23c578$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9441242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Rune Eaters25c477.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3846240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Rune Eaters23c439.16$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8332652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Rune Eaters25c405.41$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9433644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters21c389.25$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.342,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Rune Eaters10c379.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8441037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Rune Eaters18c369.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.688539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Rune Eaters26c304.86$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.161745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed Rune Eaters11c179.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.776058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters19c155.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked Rune Eaters22c121.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.696841.2%28 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed Rune Eaters21c110.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2536051.9%187 W · 173 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters23c95.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.941,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Rune Eaters23c91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9365337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rune Eaters23c91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9369033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Rune Eaters25c86.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5826956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed BetBoom Team79c79.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6955147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Rune Eaters21c72.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1425253.2%134 W · 118 L+20.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked BetBoom Team79c62.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3791356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed BetBoom Team78c59.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f3…35b9backed BetBoom Team77c38.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.831872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked BetBoom Team80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efb…c0e6backed BetBoom Team80c22.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4522259%131 W · 91 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.