TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula Badosa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eva Lysof Eva Lys, Paula Badosa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$350,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$385,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6bb5…a518backed Paula Badosa0c24,044$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0420331%63 W · 140 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Paula Badosa67c15,681$10,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,564.2924557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Paula Badosa50c12,514$6,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,194.689,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Eva Lys15c12,379$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,480.5231056.1%174 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4575…47d2backed Paula Badosa0c12,236$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c3…f7e8backed Paula Badosa44c10,944$4,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,832.252437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Eva Lys51c8,640$4,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,258.4179855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f6…4814backed Eva Lys42c6,064$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,529.432040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eva Lys46c4,746$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.847,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Paula Badosa53c3,926$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.2111,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x487f…f4ecbacked Eva Lys44c3,031$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.065541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa11c…e96fbacked Eva Lys56c2,985$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Eva Lys33c2,942$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.168026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Paula Badosa59c2,859$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.3364855.2%358 W · 290 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Eva Lys19c2,817$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.911,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Eva Lys11c2,792$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.2872132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Paula Badosa63c2,770$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.893,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Eva Lys18c2,764$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.1729028.3%82 W · 208 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Eva Lys28c2,109$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.3539238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Eva Lys27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.9958232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Eva Lys38c1,954$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.442445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Eva Lys30c1,819$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.9650731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Paula Badosa55c1,768$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.6462061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x969b…db70backed Paula Badosa1c1,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20420%0 W · 42 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Paula Badosa61c1,509$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.26043.3%26 W · 34 L-9.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbb5d…d917backed Paula Badosa59c1,475$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Paula Badosa80c1,237$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.9146473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Eva Lys1c1,196$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.918151.9%42 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+133.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Eva Lys1c1,176$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.361,2078%96 W · 1,111 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c0…837dbacked Paula Badosa78c1,128$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Eva Lys7c1,015$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.341436.7%152 W · 262 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Eva Lys28c1,014$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.261,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Eva Lys38c1,011$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.7326045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Eva Lys39c991.66$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.0529444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Eva Lys20c952.81$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.411,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked Paula Badosa33c936.15$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.684438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3dd…cdaebacked Paula Badosa77c855.5$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.212070%14 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Eva Lys47c835.35$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.8165952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Paula Badosa71c818.97$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.218,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Eva Lys18c808.18$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7139431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Paula Badosa59c780.38$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.514557.8%26 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Eva Lys28c653.33$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.627040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0185…65ebbacked Eva Lys31c615.36$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.64843.8%21 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Paula Badosa61c603.75$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.2874346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Paula Badosa63c600.16$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.751,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eaf…507bbacked Eva Lys16c593.5$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.5418133.1%60 W · 121 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Eva Lys25c577.84$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.952,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Eva Lys39c517.49$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.226,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Paula Badosa43c509.88$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.258540%34 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Paula Badosa72c499.97$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.959452.1%49 W · 45 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Eva Lys49c497.22$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.711,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe9…86a4backed Eva Lys56c489.98$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Eva Lys50c485.02$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.227431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e12…0ae4backed Eva Lys41c470.54$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.625543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Eva Lys29c468.61$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.361,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Paula Badosa63c467.5$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.2915854.4%86 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Eva Lys49c465.1$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6750156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Eva Lys46c463.09$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.2918459.8%110 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bc1…ea87backed Eva Lys42c460.58$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.552653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf77…bae9backed Paula Badosa50c433.12$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.319443.3%84 W · 110 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Paula Badosa68c431.4$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2811457%65 W · 49 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Eva Lys28c429.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.1813450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x640b…ec00backed Eva Lys26c419.56$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.319738.1%37 W · 60 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Paula Badosa72c412.04$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.6785057.5%489 W · 361 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Paula Badosa60c406.67$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2441,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x533d…b579backed Eva Lys10c395.35$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.924944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Eva Lys51c381.35$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2499139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Eva Lys36c368.19$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.891050.2%457 W · 453 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Eva Lys33c297.55$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.9830555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Paula Badosa67c291.82$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0646562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Paula Badosa63c286$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.291,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Paula Badosa60c280.41$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2552854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Paula Badosa48c280.27$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.354,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Eva Lys17c269.58$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7548630.9%150 W · 336 L+2.4wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f15…650dbacked Paula Badosa72c265.82$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3915762.4%98 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9bc…377ebacked Eva Lys22c257.31$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.9624918.5%46 W · 203 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Eva Lys34c257.08$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4960355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Eva Lys28c257.03$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.181,90444.1%839 W · 1,065 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Paula Badosa66c254.1$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4336944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Eva Lys56c251.93$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5714250.7%72 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Eva Lys49c250$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.754,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Paula Badosa72c247.03$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8624463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Eva Lys23c240.92$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5727936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Eva Lys60c232.79$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2142558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Eva Lys42c228.23$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.748935.8%175 W · 314 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Eva Lys45c227.2$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6157052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Paula Badosa72c227.02$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.21,02257.8%591 W · 431 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Paula Badosa57c217.87$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.972,43350.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L+81.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Paula Badosa44c215.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.889,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd289…fd44backed Paula Badosa72c203.06$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.972334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Eva Lys7c200.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5237233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Eva Lys16c198.64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.863158.1%18 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+60%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Paula Badosa59c196.82$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4633747.2%159 W · 178 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Paula Badosa72c196.64$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.581,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Paula Badosa37c192.95$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.23423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d84…768cbacked Paula Badosa72c191.18$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.652944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-29.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Paula Badosa67c190.31$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.634847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8b…f894backed Eva Lys6c188.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.48724.1%21 W · 66 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Eva Lys14c187$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.8238955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Eva Lys28c185.48$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5458639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.