Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Carstensz vs GLYPH (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a3f1a6686a5c71c6655024f4c8dad398281acf6cbd405c5b1caec285077924b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof Carstensz, GLYPH
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…e618backed GLYPH | 80c | 13,529$10,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.35 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed GLYPH | 72c | 5,478$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.66 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Carstensz | 23c | 4,267$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.31 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Carstensz | 32c | 3,476$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.21 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked GLYPH | 62c | 3,359$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Carstensz | 24c | 2,514$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.69 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Carstensz | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Carstensz | 24c | 2,390$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.23 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Carstensz | 36c | 2,014$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.4 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked GLYPH | 72c | 2,011$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.48 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Carstensz | 39c | 1,706$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.59 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Carstensz | 20c | 1,410$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.99 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Carstensz | 33c | 1,256$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.51 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Carstensz | 24c | 1,119$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.98 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Carstensz | 40c | 1,091$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.26 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Carstensz | 25c | 993.88$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.47 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked GLYPH | 66c | 964.8$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.7 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…d45bbacked Carstensz | 27c | 885.37$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…e96fbacked GLYPH | 69c | 851.26$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.56 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Carstensz | 27c | 794.23$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.1 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked GLYPH | 66c | 729.58$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.88 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked GLYPH | 63c | 679.58$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.8 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Carstensz | 34c | 655.87$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.29 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked GLYPH | 61c | 634.82$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.09 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Carstensz | 35c | 634.12$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.14 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed GLYPH | 63c | 613.86$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.3 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Carstensz | 48c | 611.04$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.96 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed GLYPH | 58c | 598.99$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.58 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Carstensz | 31c | 529.83$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.14 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked GLYPH | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Carstensz | 29c | 496.87$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.09 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Carstensz | 28c | 476.27$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed GLYPH | 62c | 418.08$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.67 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked GLYPH | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Carstensz | 38c | 394.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…8a0bbacked GLYPH | 63c | 350$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Carstensz | 38c | 340.7$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.94 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Carstensz | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked GLYPH | 77c | 307.41$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Carstensz | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GLYPH | 66c | 297.53$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed GLYPH | 63c | 295.8$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed GLYPH | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Carstensz | 37c | 270.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Carstensz | 27c | 268.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed GLYPH | 53c | 266.48$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed Carstensz | 40c | 256.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked GLYPH | 74c | 250.93$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Carstensz | 40c | 241.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…5d8ebacked GLYPH | 58c | 238.09$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed GLYPH | 65c | 225.61$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Carstensz | 19c | 222.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed Carstensz | 39c | 197.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Carstensz | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…3a62backed Carstensz | 49c | 190$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Carstensz | 34c | 183.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Carstensz | 45c | 162.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Carstensz | 27c | 148.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed GLYPH | 68c | 144.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Carstensz | 34c | 140.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked GLYPH | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Carstensz | 29c | 133.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Carstensz | 27c | 129.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Carstensz | 32c | 119.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…7fc1backed GLYPH | 53c | 119.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Carstensz | 25c | 117.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Carstensz | 16c | 115.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Carstensz | 28c | 114.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed GLYPH | 58c | 111.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked GLYPH | 75c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked GLYPH | 54c | 109.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…f4f7backed Carstensz | 22c | 107.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Carstensz | 47c | 107.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Carstensz | 31c | 103.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Carstensz | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Carstensz | 49c | 99.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Carstensz | 25c | 97.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Carstensz | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Carstensz | 41c | 92.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Carstensz | 11c | 92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed GLYPH | 63c | 90.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed GLYPH | 66c | 90.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…afc5backed Carstensz | 22c | 86.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Carstensz | 36c | 85.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Carstensz | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…cd03backed GLYPH | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Carstensz | 19c | 79.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Carstensz | 41c | 76.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Carstensz | 41c | 76.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked GLYPH | 74c | 74.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Carstensz | 29c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed GLYPH | 74c | 70.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked GLYPH | 74c | 70.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e1…f468backed GLYPH | 71c | 69.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked GLYPH | 59c | 69.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Carstensz | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed GLYPH | 65c | 65.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…3223backed GLYPH | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Carstensz | 36c | 62.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Carstensz | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Carstensz vs GLYPH (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Carstensz vs GLYPH - Game 1 WinnerCarstensz won
- Dota 2: Carstensz vs GLYPH - Game 2 WinnerGLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.