Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41dd27fd407db9baaa361bd602b08f6c486e269609d83ed4b7834550b762d6eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof OG, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed OG | 59c | 33,025$19,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,572.94 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed OG | 63c | 22,948$14,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,514.26 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 41c | 9,080$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,323.81 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed REKONIX | 51c | 8,499$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.49 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 38c | 8,472$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,210.66 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed REKONIX | 40c | 7,091$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,226.82 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed REKONIX | 47c | 5,490$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.53 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX | 40c | 4,178$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.07 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…e96fbacked REKONIX | 36c | 3,483$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.3 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 40c | 3,149$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.39 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 40c | 3,013$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.07 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 40c | 2,713$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.74 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 40c | 2,669$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.67 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 39c | 2,553$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.56 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed REKONIX | 47c | 2,434$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.9 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed REKONIX | 41c | 1,933$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.15 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed OG | 60c | 1,912$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.17 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed OG | 64c | 1,872$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.49 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked OG | 59c | 1,861$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.24 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed OG | 59c | 1,750$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.99 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed OG | 60c | 1,638$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.75 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 60c | 1,601$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.38 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed OG | 61c | 1,564$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.85 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed OG | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked REKONIX | 74c | 1,289$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.89 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked REKONIX | 41c | 985.29$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.98 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked REKONIX | 41c | 983.22$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.1 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 44c | 970.5$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.21 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed REKONIX | 44c | 959.79$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.94 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed OG | 7c | 950$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed REKONIX | 38c | 855.78$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.85 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed REKONIX | 41c | 777.68$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.25 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed REKONIX | 39c | 765.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.97 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed REKONIX | 41c | 556.54$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.93 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked REKONIX | 41c | 535.35$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.86 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked OG | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked REKONIX | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.62 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked REKONIX | 41c | 468.33$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.39 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…2412backed REKONIX | 44c | 459.13$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked REKONIX | 44c | 443.35$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.12 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed REKONIX | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked REKONIX | 48c | 397.21$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 39c | 358.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.84 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed REKONIX | 41c | 339.25$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 48c | 339.04$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.95 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked OG | 52c | 336.18$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked OG | 48c | 323.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked OG | 54c | 294.87$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.49 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed REKONIX | 41c | 283.59$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.32 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 54c | 260.16$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked REKONIX | 36c | 228.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed OG | 62c | 219.21$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed OG | 50c | 195.4$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed REKONIX | 55c | 185.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 38c | 177.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed REKONIX | 41c | 176.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 43c | 166.3$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed OG | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed OG | 38c | 159.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed REKONIX | 36c | 155.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked OG | 60c | 153.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed REKONIX | 42c | 148.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed OG | 42c | 144.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 45c | 137.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked OG | 44c | 136.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked OG | 47c | 134.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 46c | 131.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed REKONIX | 41c | 129.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 52c | 129.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dd4bbacked OG | 53c | 126.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked REKONIX | 41c | 118.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed REKONIX | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked REKONIX | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed OG | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed OG | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 37c | 99.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed REKONIX | 38c | 98.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked REKONIX | 41c | 98.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked OG | 60c | 96.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed REKONIX | 38c | 93.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked REKONIX | 42c | 91.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked OG | 59c | 89.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…f4f7backed REKONIX | 39c | 82.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed OG | 30c | 79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed REKONIX | 41c | 70.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked REKONIX | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked OG | 58c | 68.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked REKONIX | 46c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed OG | 54c | 65.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…627fbacked REKONIX | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked OG | 54c | 61.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked REKONIX | 49c | 58.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed REKONIX | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked REKONIX | 51c | 55.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f3…35b9backed REKONIX | 73c | 54.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked REKONIX | 47c | 54.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…f347backed OG | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked REKONIX | 36c | 51.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…c84bbacked REKONIX | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked REKONIX | 41c | 50.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- First Blood in Game 2?OG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.