Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf99034c1ee16dc5921bb3875041d2213be9ae5a9b560c40a57d885ef5f2ead32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof OG, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed OG | 69c | 14,970$10,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,368.14 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed REKONIX | 45c | 4,077$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.78 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 52c | 4,067$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.44 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed OG | 62c | 3,690$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.78 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked OG | 66c | 3,600$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.27 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 35c | 3,419$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.73 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 49c | 2,869$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.8 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed REKONIX | 42c | 2,655$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.04 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 55c | 2,490$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.47 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed REKONIX | 35c | 2,308$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.75 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 41c | 2,258$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.22 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed OG | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.6 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 37c | 1,727$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.02 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 41c | 1,542$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.51 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed REKONIX | 74c | 1,464$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.72 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked REKONIX | 35c | 1,137$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.87 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed OG | 51c | 1,120$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.86 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed OG | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 31c | 999.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed REKONIX | 32c | 923.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.3 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked REKONIX | 51c | 800$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked REKONIX | 30c | 718.5$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.95 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed OG | 65c | 692.27$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.7 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed REKONIX | 50c | 670.89$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.17 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked REKONIX | 34c | 644.48$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.36 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed OG | 7c | 616.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed REKONIX | 45c | 579.04$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.72 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 36c | 575.31$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.77 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed OG | 59c | 533.16$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.57 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked REKONIX | 55c | 525.25$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.97 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX | 35c | 519.93$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.19 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed OG | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 34c | 498.19$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed OG | 67c | 448$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed OG | 58c | 394.79$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.98 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked REKONIX | 35c | 388.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.48 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed OG | 49c | 374.22$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.88 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked REKONIX | 56c | 360.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.45 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked OG | 6c | 341.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed OG | 64c | 330.08$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.44 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed OG | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked OG | 68c | 288.95$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.15 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed REKONIX | 38c | 272.52$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.96 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed OG | 44c | 258.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked OG | 45c | 238.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed REKONIX | 59c | 238.3$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked REKONIX | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked OG | 64c | 192.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked REKONIX | 35c | 186.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 43c | 180.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed OG | 9c | 174.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 38c | 169.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 40c | 168.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked REKONIX | 51c | 168.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 34c | 158.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked OG | 13c | 153.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed OG | 64c | 153.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed OG | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked OG | 64c | 135$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 56c | 124.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed REKONIX | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed OG | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked OG | 57c | 108.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed OG | 68c | 105.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked OG | 66c | 104.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed OG | 34c | 103.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked REKONIX | 67c | 100.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked OG | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed OG | 57c | 98.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked OG | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed OG | 56c | 97.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked REKONIX | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed OG | 48c | 95.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked REKONIX | 33c | 75.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed REKONIX | 42c | 74.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked OG | 48c | 70.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed REKONIX | 37c | 65.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked REKONIX | 38c | 64.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed OG | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed OG | 59c | 58.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f3…35b9backed OG | 67c | 57.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked OG | 19c | 54.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed OG | 66c | 50.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed OG | 35c | 49.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 58c | 49.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…b044backed OG | 29c | 48.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked OG | 69c | 45.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX | 32c | 43.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…f4f7backed REKONIX | 33c | 41.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…e414backed REKONIX | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +143%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…c542backed REKONIX | 47c | 40.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked REKONIX | 61c | 40.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0358…30e2backed REKONIX | 73c | 40.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed OG | 30c | 38.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…748dbacked OG | 29c | 38.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3a…e03dbacked OG | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked OG | 68c | 37.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed REKONIX | 49c | 37.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…32bebacked OG | 35c | 33.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed OG | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +18.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
- First Blood in Game 2?OG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.