Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb29c97c946c3a0ea410ed19382cf6cc7860d7eff8d4bc78213f3e7599f7b2b6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof OG, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf483…3f62backed OG | 0c | 24,350$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.62 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed OG | 73c | 9,761$7,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,105.87 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed OG | 72c | 4,591$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.78 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked REKONIX | 27c | 3,745$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.06 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 35c | 3,660$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.94 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 61c | 2,799$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.87 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed REKONIX | 60c | 2,433$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.26 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 58c | 2,388$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.38 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed REKONIX | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 29c | 1,469$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.58 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed OG | 43c | 1,366$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.92 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…9be5backed OG | 59c | 1,170$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.58 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed OG | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked REKONIX | 27c | 1,076$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 31c | 1,026$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.73 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed OG | 27c | 989.26$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.41 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 29c | 973.42$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.77 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed REKONIX | 29c | 957.4$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.75 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed OG | 37c | 831.96$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.65 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 58c | 809.06$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.85 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9459…ef37backed OG | 34c | 750$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 34c | 741.16$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.47 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed OG | 49c | 723.32$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.79 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed OG | 36c | 588.81$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.97 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 35c | 553.5$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.46 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6f…d78bbacked OG | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked REKONIX | 65c | 474.58$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OG | 31c | 434.56$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…90a2backed OG | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcf…6726backed OG | 40c | 373.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked REKONIX | 44c | 345.92$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.83 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked REKONIX | 38c | 339.61$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.38 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked REKONIX | 58c | 321.38$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked REKONIX | 61c | 320.6$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.29 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed OG | 8c | 299.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed REKONIX | 49c | 285.49$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.53 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…3a62backed REKONIX | 60c | 277.5$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed OG | 42c | 250.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…0123backed OG | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed OG | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 29c | 231.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.08 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed REKONIX | 32c | 230.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked REKONIX | 48c | 220.02$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed REKONIX | 29c | 207.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…9374backed OG | 72c | 187.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 75c | 167.47$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4898…a723backed OG | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed REKONIX | 60c | 149.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked OG | 71c | 148.91$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked OG | 39c | 148.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed REKONIX | 40c | 144.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed REKONIX | 68c | 143.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…b4c8backed OG | 33c | 140.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked REKONIX | 79c | 138.24$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked OG | 42c | 136.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked OG | 73c | 134.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked OG | 36c | 134.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked OG | 73c | 133.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked OG | 19c | 132.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked REKONIX | 29c | 132.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…f347backed OG | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb161…9132backed OG | 61c | 130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed REKONIX | 54c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed REKONIX | 68c | 119.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed REKONIX | 59c | 117.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | -18.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed OG | 54c | 115.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed REKONIX | 66c | 110.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…0b26backed OG | 29c | 110.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed OG | 73c | 104.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed REKONIX | 26c | 100.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…e43ebacked OG | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed OG | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked OG | 21c | 91.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed OG | 26c | 87.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked OG | 34c | 87.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked REKONIX | 63c | 80.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked OG | 37c | 79.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked REKONIX | 69c | 70.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed REKONIX | 63c | 67.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked REKONIX | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed OG | 31c | 65.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked OG | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd0…389fbacked REKONIX | 61c | 58.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed REKONIX | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1edebacked REKONIX | 28c | 54.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed OG | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…108dbacked OG | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked REKONIX | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked OG | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed REKONIX | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed OG | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed OG | 72c | 47.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d48…f5a2backed OG | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af9…5bf2backed OG | 58c | 45.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…32bebacked OG | 42c | 43.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 29c | 43.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed OG | 41c | 43.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
- First Blood in Game 2?OG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.