Tennis · resolved market
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Alina Charaeva vs Jessica Pieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb45b661fee3631e993a532581986ce7a2e7c034c94e551e0aa46949272abfe86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alina Charaevaof Alina Charaeva, Jessica Pieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jessica Pieri | 15c | 3,062$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.98 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jessica Pieri | 4c | 1,444$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jessica Pieri | 3c | 1,353$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Jessica Pieri | 5c | 943$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…9944backed Jessica Pieri | 3c | 929.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jessica Pieri | 7c | 815.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Jessica Pieri | 19c | 755.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Alina Charaeva | 80c | 622.44$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Jessica Pieri | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Jessica Pieri | 20c | 382.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Alina Charaeva | 80c | 269.29$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…e96fbacked Jessica Pieri | 15c | 261.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…c27dbacked Alina Charaeva | 80c | 192.02$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Alina Charaeva | 79c | 118.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jessica Pieri | 20c | 115.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Alina Charaeva | 76c | 104.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Alina Charaeva | 80c | 102.51$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Jessica Pieri | 24c | 100.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Alina Charaeva | 80c | 98.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…c5afbacked Jessica Pieri | 17c | 94.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…5d46backed Jessica Pieri | 17c | 87.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Jessica Pieri | 17c | 77.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Alina Charaeva | 77c | 53.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Alina Charaeva | 78c | 39.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Alina Charaeva | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…3aa6backed Alina Charaeva | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…d849backed Alina Charaeva | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alina Charaeva | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…22febacked Alina Charaeva | 79c | 18.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.