Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2c5b24bae3b49585d9c385102df3185626361ab9478af1570c856d3e8ff9a00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Team Lynx, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Lynx | 51c | 3,244$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.35 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 727.79$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.87 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 726.06$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.29 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 696.03$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.97 | 105 | 61%64 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Lynx | 44c | 511.2$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.37 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Lynx | 47c | 484.1$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.53 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx | 16c | 481.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 473.28$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Lynx | 13c | 434.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Lynx | 45c | 432.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.3 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 294.89$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 269.94$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.07 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 209.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 208.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 201.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 196.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 184.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 150.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Team Lynx | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Team Lynx | 48c | 144.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 140.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Lynx | 45c | 124.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed Team Lynx | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Lynx | 48c | 98.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Lynx | 51c | 82.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 78.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 77.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Team Lynx | 27c | 71.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx | 19c | 63.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 53.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…5ab3backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 47.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Lynx | 47c | 44.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 43.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Team Lynx | 42c | 41.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Lynx | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Team Lynx | 46c | 33.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde5c…7428backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 31.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…c84bbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 30.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…34d0backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 30.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 28.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 26.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Team Lynx | 46c | 25.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 24.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…7a73backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 23.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Team Lynx | 46c | 22.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Yellow Submarine | 61c | 21.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 20.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Yellow Submarine | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc7…7cffbacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 19.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.