CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Tricked (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ce0b4b468579b1011382e7aa99589f67cb6717ebb3370467e62ec98a9b074c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, Tricked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Alliance | 70c | 3,566$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.51 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Alliance | 70c | 2,233$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.97 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Alliance | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Tricked | 30c | 1,562$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.46 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Tricked | 29c | 1,311$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.45 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Tricked | 30c | 1,292$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.62 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Tricked | 10c | 944.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Tricked | 30c | 929.26$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.78 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Tricked | 30c | 890.52$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.16 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tricked | 21c | 800$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Tricked | 30c | 798.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Alliance | 71c | 691.97$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tricked | 24c | 616.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Tricked | 29c | 614.23$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed Alliance | 71c | 596.76$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.06 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Tricked | 30c | 459.84$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Tricked | 37c | 341.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Alliance | 58c | 328.71$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Tricked | 11c | 325.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Tricked | 30c | 304.07$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Tricked | 14c | 301.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Tricked | 30c | 271.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Alliance | 63c | 270.65$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 79c | 235.24$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Alliance | 71c | 207.59$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Tricked | 12c | 204.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Tricked | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Tricked | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Alliance | 71c | 199.54$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tricked | 37c | 198.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tricked | 21c | 175$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tricked | 13c | 145.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tricked | 11c | 123.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed Tricked | 29c | 105.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Alliance | 71c | 82.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tricked | 24c | 81.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Tricked | 30c | 81.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…09c9backed Tricked | 30c | 72.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a2…f1efbacked Alliance | 70c | 63.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Alliance | 71c | 58.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Tricked | 30c | 53.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Alliance | 77c | 52.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Tricked | 30c | 51.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…111ebacked Tricked | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff8e…c81abacked Tricked | 30c | 45.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…6431backed Alliance | 62c | 41.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 231 | 65.8%152 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Tricked | 27c | 38.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…5ab3backed Tricked | 34c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Alliance | 72c | 32.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Alliance | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked Alliance | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1634…b32fbacked Alliance | 73c | 26.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Alliance | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Alliance | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed Alliance | 61c | 19.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance | 78c | 16.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.