TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
REKONIXof REKONIX, Execration
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,179 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed REKONIX62c3,157$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.154556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Execration37c2,200$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82181029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc186…ad81backed REKONIX64c1,833$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.853767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Execration28c1,258$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.362,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Execration38c1,249$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.771957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+51.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8681…ef99backed Execration35c1,161$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.496746.3%31 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed REKONIX60c1,123$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.257447.3%35 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked REKONIX65c888.65$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.0336654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Execration40c777.21$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.03933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Execration45c542.72$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.8571342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed Execration37c514.16$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4911742.7%50 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked REKONIX57c475.02$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed REKONIX64c469.72$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.120642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed REKONIX67c445.65$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2220145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Execration35c413.39$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.691936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked REKONIX68c396.51$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Execration37c358.9$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7915147.7%72 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Execration39c344.96$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5867043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Execration40c337.09$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Execration36c332.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7523342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed REKONIX65c331.85$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.524759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed REKONIX64c325.46$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1651550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed REKONIX65c300.12$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5836138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Execration37c299.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed REKONIX60c278.2$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2520452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Execration18c260$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.824251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2ad…e6abbacked REKONIX62c252.02$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Execration33c249.66$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.162,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked REKONIX55c242.49$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1734544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed REKONIX62c236.91$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.032572%18 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed REKONIX60c218.6$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.445545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Execration39c216.62$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.484723.4%11 W · 36 L-8.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-59.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x85a9…30bcbacked Execration39c204.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3524backed Execration37c182.82$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked Execration37c171.48$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.458750.6%44 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked Execration40c168.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Execration40c160$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Execration43c156.34$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6257735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked REKONIX63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4310156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd08…2c93backed REKONIX63c154.76$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9716752.7%88 W · 79 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Execration45c149.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5520838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed REKONIX69c141.91$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7619162.8%120 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed REKONIX65c126.1$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1310152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed REKONIX65c125.01$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.753063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked REKONIX49c124$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9669033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Execration41c109.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.01812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-84%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb035…d989backed REKONIX63c100.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Execration38c100.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.129543.2%41 W · 54 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Execration45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459339.8%37 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Execration36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3622845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Execration37c98.12$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.781,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Execration22c95.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.973036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+68.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Execration45c85.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2526050.4%131 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked REKONIX61c80.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2391356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e71…f347backed REKONIX61c80.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Execration38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.413636%49 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25b4…635abacked REKONIX63c78.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Execration18c60.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Execration20c57.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2520954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked REKONIX60c57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.841244.7%184 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed REKONIX62c55.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.916100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f3a…e03dbacked Execration41c47.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.293935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed Execration39c43.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7713259.8%79 W · 53 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Execration33c42.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9430643.5%133 W · 173 L-22.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed REKONIX52c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1636044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed REKONIX63c41.81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.476167.2%41 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x326f…1a19backed REKONIX60c40.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.167456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…5853backed Execration37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked REKONIX79c39.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2920151.2%103 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed REKONIX51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1165337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…1c86backed Execration35c38.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.454837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9368…8b01backed Execration38c37.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.265724.6%14 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Execration39c36.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.351,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Execration30c35.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9714962.4%93 W · 56 L+21.8wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Execration40c34.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed REKONIX67c34.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3410571.4%75 W · 30 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Execration39c33.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70e0…6821backed REKONIX60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.011758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked REKONIX65c30.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5476048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d6…108dbacked Execration35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed REKONIX63c29.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.859055.6%50 W · 40 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…172abacked REKONIX54c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4332252.5%169 W · 153 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a29…836dbacked Execration41c26.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.934165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aad…5ab3backed Execration45c26.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f8…6ef8backed REKONIX61c24.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.412060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcac9…47a9backed REKONIX62c16.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.