Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb332a7ee35b7669d537f52cfa8536130c1522d84ac9540fd787cf69d5c0f7c47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof REKONIX, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Execration | 50c | 8,046$4,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,022.93 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed REKONIX | 50c | 7,760$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked REKONIX | 65c | 1,244$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.58 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Execration | 41c | 913.42$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.11 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Execration | 38c | 829.62$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.61 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Execration | 46c | 623.56$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.07 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed REKONIX | 66c | 603.07$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.98 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked REKONIX | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed REKONIX | 54c | 284.27$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Execration | 28c | 214.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed REKONIX | 50c | 195.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.63 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Execration | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 71c | 151.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 63c | 131.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed REKONIX | 59c | 127.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Execration | 41c | 122.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Execration | 34c | 112.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 55c | 103.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked REKONIX | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked REKONIX | 50c | 98.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration | 34c | 96.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Execration | 45c | 66.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked REKONIX | 67c | 58.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Execration | 52c | 56.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed REKONIX | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Execration | 49c | 41.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Execration | 53c | 38.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed REKONIX | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked REKONIX | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked REKONIX | 58c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Execration | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d2…1fbfbacked REKONIX | 62c | 35.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed REKONIX | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed REKONIX | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked REKONIX | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Execration | 41c | 29.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…1316backed REKONIX | 70c | 25.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed REKONIX | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.