Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ed257994db5ed4a44838ade71570ca2a15897b913377149531d4bcfe99f63ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $416,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $617,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed L1ga Team | 45c | 200,091$90,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,060.26 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed L1ga Team | 55c | 2,496$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.7 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 2,395$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.11 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 2,194$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.75 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 953.38$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.48 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 858.87$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.09 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 56c | 785.98$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.86 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 683.91$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 535.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed L1ga Team | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…9167backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 338.8$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked L1ga Team | 75c | 201.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 194.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 193.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked L1ga Team | 52c | 187.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed L1ga Team | 44c | 181.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked L1ga Team | 46c | 176.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.54 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 160.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 152.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 56c | 150.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 146.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed L1ga Team | 71c | 132.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked L1ga Team | 46c | 118.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 116.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 114.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 108.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Rune Eaters | 32c | 104.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team | 38c | 98.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Rune Eaters | 19c | 97.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 83.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…29f0backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 82.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed L1ga Team | 61c | 79.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac17…eccabacked L1ga Team | 66c | 72.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 71.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 54.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…0b07backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 41.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed L1ga Team | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked L1ga Team | 75c | 38.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 36.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 30.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 30.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 29.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 29.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 26.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed L1ga Team | 64c | 21.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…5ab3backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 21.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.