Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc972dabfe0e22ac59b53423a230d9b852e02b547d204c395a3194427f331599a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof L1ga Team, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a2b…a8b1backed L1ga Team | 0c | 15,849$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.63 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 1,750$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.49 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 980.2$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.94 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed L1ga Team | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked L1ga Team | 65c | 462.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Rune Eaters | 76c | 384.67$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed L1ga Team | 32c | 305.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team | 54c | 289.41$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.17 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked L1ga Team | 76c | 197.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 189.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 178.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Rune Eaters | 27c | 159.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked L1ga Team | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed L1ga Team | 57c | 150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 94.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 93.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 36c | 85.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked L1ga Team | 69c | 71.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 38.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed L1ga Team | 36c | 32.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 31.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac17…eccabacked L1ga Team | 71c | 30.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed L1ga Team | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.