NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f473a375ecca8a607cd18b35af167d4f2e7f9a46b84a44b1578dbe1074d2e3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 14,643$6,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,689.29 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 11,736$6,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,393.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 46c | 5,034$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.34 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 1,621$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 53c | 1,557$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.6 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 55c | 1,194$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.89 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 55c | 885.26$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.8 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 789.75$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.67 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 44c | 784.11$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 52c | 454.89$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.35 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 44c | 449.44$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 55c | 443.01$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.78 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 54c | 391.59$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.13 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 312.79$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 12c | 269.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 46c | 198.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 54c | 196$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 55c | 177.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 55c | 177.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 173.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 54c | 169.13$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Over | 53c | 135.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 55c | 132.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 121.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 13c | 121.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 47c | 98.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 46c | 76.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…b9b3backed Under | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 54c | 49.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked Under | 47c | 47.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 54c | 44.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…5ab3backed Under | 48c | 40.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 55c | 38.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 55c | 20.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5this page
- Coby White: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Suns vs. HornetsHornets won
- Suns vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Suns vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.