NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4915ad9a583ee73ce2c75f25533e3d125f2e3ee03d8768458501f7fefd99998e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 7c | 2,999$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.88 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Over | 52c | 2,239$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.64 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Under | 48c | 1,831$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.99 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 52c | 1,467$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.16 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Under | 48c | 1,157$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.56 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 56c | 999.58$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.82 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 39c | 579.97$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 44c | 555$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 502.95$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.36 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 44c | 500.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.71 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 421.89$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 57c | 345.84$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.71 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 52c | 328.15$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 55c | 324.63$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 61c | 278.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 51c | 264.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Over | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 60c | 206.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 43c | 197.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Under | 10c | 195.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 43c | 185.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Under | 48c | 181.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 54c | 169.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 39c | 169.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 152.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 39c | 150.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 59c | 148.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 57c | 135.41$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Under | 49c | 115.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Over | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…4ce4backed Over | 52c | 104.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 45c | 88.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654f…61eebacked Over | 52c | 84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 46c | 81.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 61c | 78.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 54c | 72.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 44c | 63.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 57c | 59.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 53c | 58.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 56.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 61c | 39.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 54c | 32.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 48c | 29.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…2573backed Over | 52c | 28.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 46c | 26.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 57c | 24.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…1013backed Over | 61c | 16.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 76c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5this page
- Coby White: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Suns vs. HornetsHornets won
- Suns vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Suns vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.