NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf141fad7e06bf3d28b8db9788bafa83f75090d649b3b964e3764e5c2323597f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 53c | 9,020$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.58 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Under | 47c | 4,149$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.95 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 7c | 3,367$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.48 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Under | 46c | 2,117$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.82 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.2 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 1,554$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Over | 52c | 1,509$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 1,102$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.05 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 43c | 959.04$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 7c | 615.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 46c | 599.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 44c | 554.97$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.41 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 44c | 490.33$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.39 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 444.22$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.06 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 46c | 428.65$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.18 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 46c | 425$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Under | 46c | 424$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 45c | 400.15$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.07 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 46c | 387.04$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.04 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 55c | 367.73$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.06 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…0bf5backed Over | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 46c | 322.21$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 292.73$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 286.94$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Over | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 259.96$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 242.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 241.32$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed Under | 47c | 232.37$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.21 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Under | 44c | 193.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 46c | 188.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 187.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 46c | 181.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 57c | 160.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 36c | 150.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 58c | 146.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 136.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 54c | 123.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 48c | 121.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 56c | 110.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 56c | 110.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 56c | 110.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 56c | 110.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 56c | 110.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 47c | 75.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 56c | 75.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 72.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…3efebacked Over | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…b9b3backed Under | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 34c | 48.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Under | 43c | 44.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a27…a12cbacked Under | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked Under | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 45c | 34.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbf…3ef8backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Under | 47c | 29.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Over | 60c | 28.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 79c | 26.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1525…2815backed Over | 54c | 25.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 47c | 25.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 56c | 23.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Over | 58c | 21.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb510…762bbacked Over | 58c | 17.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5this page
- Coby White: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Suns vs. HornetsHornets won
- Suns vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Suns vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.