Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddb7f58c6c9e3b4892fbd3b6e1c08e3a5ea1541dc41932846b72f2d899dbe1ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 1,609$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 65c | 1,075$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb18f…6e4dbacked Under | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 18c | 722.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.2 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 65c | 653.89$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.49 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 494.09$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.55 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…16c9backed Under | 72c | 480$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 17c | 456.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.06 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 383.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.59 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 319.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.73 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 32c | 313.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 23c | 266.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.75 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 10c | 215.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 21c | 157.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 65c | 153.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 30c | 122.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 25c | 114.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 62c | 110.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 109$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 21c | 92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Over | 15c | 90.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 60c | 83.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 25c | 82.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 80c | 74.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 49c | 67.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 77c | 57.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 32c | 56.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 78c | 54.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 24c | 53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 23c | 48.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 31c | 47.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 69c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 39c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 76c | 33.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 78c | 28.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 80c | 24.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf8…2094backed Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…bbd0backed Under | 78c | 21.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…8f43backed Under | 74c | 20.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 65c | 20.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…44f8backed Under | 78c | 19.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…d11dbacked Under | 78c | 15.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)FC Utrecht won
- Spread: Telstar 1963 (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.