Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x818c4288d478ec99d42c578f4fb16b41d10df65c3b0c6e2929ac259731fcff66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 1,094$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.41 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 596.47$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.73 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 42c | 475.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.9 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 38c | 352.86$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 351.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.49 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 64c | 234.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 55c | 149.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 55c | 136$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 113.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 54c | 92.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 86.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 46c | 74.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 55c | 48.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 62c | 39.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 54c | 35.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4644…6cecbacked Over | 59c | 34.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…d3cbbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 46c | 27.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 46c | 27.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…347bbacked Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…919bbacked Over | 59c | 24.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…edd6backed Over | 58c | 22.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4a…7b4cbacked Over | 58c | 20.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…4de7backed Over | 58c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…d12ebacked Over | 59c | 20.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713e…ae98backed Over | 58c | 19.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6938…e6cebacked Over | 58c | 18.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…2eb5backed Over | 58c | 17.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)FC Utrecht won
- Spread: Telstar 1963 (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.