Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee68f4b2e0b8d5f92989a814615a6a2560a3ef6ff7489df03b26d63f90631bc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 53c | 499.97$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8b57backed Yes | 60c | 457.31$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 419.66$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 43c | 417.43$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.49 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Yes | 59c | 324.3$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 51c | 73.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 47c | 38.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 29.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a0…763abacked No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b6…a90dbacked Yes | 58c | 22.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61d…714bbacked Yes | 58c | 22.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8363…9831backed Yes | 55c | 22.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912d…eae3backed Yes | 58c | 22.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…81e7backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…db54backed Yes | 58c | 18.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)FC Utrecht won
- Spread: Telstar 1963 (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.