IPO · resolved market
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6cf62f464cb187f137d978a9914d015034b355726a6a41eae075c8d45107695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 53c | 3,762$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.09 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 34c | 1,841$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 64c | 431.19$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.05 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked No | 12c | 319.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 25c | 266.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed No | 64c | 252.77$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…ec81backed No | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 35c | 135.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 65c | 131.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4996…18c3backed No | 65c | 127.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 65c | 121.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 65c | 120.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8b…7a69backed Yes | 35c | 111.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 20c | 102.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 65c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Yes | 35c | 87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +228%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…3a31backed No | 65c | 84.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6f…f28fbacked No | 65c | 79.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 68c | 74.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf8…2094backed No | 66c | 70.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1767…f209backed No | 68c | 61.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…d677backed No | 65c | 61.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…a983backed Yes | 36c | 52.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…b759backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…4568backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…9fbbbacked Yes | 35c | 47.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e63…134fbacked No | 66c | 42.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…1475backed No | 66c | 42.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 42.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…deaabacked Yes | 34c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…1215backed Yes | 36c | 39.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff6…db55backed No | 65c | 23.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…9ecdbacked No | 65c | 22.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…75fbbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…1f78backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…cf85backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…14d7backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…b2e2backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…3651backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…f76ebacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…b45cbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd999…4538backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?this page
- Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $45M and $50M at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $50M and $55M at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.