Asian League · resolved market
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a35531e9f5dda5fd22d0d6032e358788967f4ac91ae7cc3069ce13abe3789c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 55c | 3,831$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.93 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 2,081$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 1,062$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.91 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 45c | 802$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 76c | 781.74$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.74 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 43c | 572.37$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.12 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 31c | 550.59$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.48 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 46c | 536.06$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.72 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 47c | 431$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.57 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Under | 57c | 365.2$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.69 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 34c | 306.86$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf8…2094backed Over | 10c | 281.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Over | 48c | 270.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 237.1$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 235.09$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 45c | 225.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 45c | 210$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 45c | 179.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 45c | 152.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 128.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 65c | 98.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Under | 73c | 72.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 48c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 44c | 56.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 50c | 54.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 55c | 47.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 47c | 41.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 47c | 33.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 47c | 33.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 55c | 30.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Over | 38c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Over | 65c | 27.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 47c | 25.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 47c | 25.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f2…f294backed Over | 49c | 22.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 21.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…5fd9backed Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…b011backed Over | 49c | 20.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88e…082fbacked Over | 49c | 20.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…a473backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…db8abacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.