TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,654 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf360…6726backed Yes77c3,285$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.3710824.1%26 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x860d…6071backed Yes33c1,700$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.0924732.4%80 W · 167 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes49c998.52$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.1239723.2%92 W · 305 L-0.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No6c942.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2362539.5%247 W · 378 L+48.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41b0…26a7backed No17c900$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes51c880.12$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.8957222%126 W · 446 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac16…4f44backed No17c698.61$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.345040%20 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No22c623$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.091159.6%11 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes26c497.92$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.0536113.3%48 W · 313 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…d4febacked Yes44c472.17$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.855930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0a…ccdcbacked No13c411.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…6efebacked No39c386.06$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.057915.2%12 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-59.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…ea5dbacked No3c333.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked No7c327.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.321216.6%8 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x532f…e626backed Yes67c266.61$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.21771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa46…6e69backed Yes53c260.25$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes68c257.75$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.422926.6%61 W · 168 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-48.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ef…bcbcbacked Yes50c249.63$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.521752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes69c214.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5636018.6%67 W · 293 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked No46c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7c…487ebacked No12c196.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6412232.8%40 W · 82 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Yes50c184.04$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes49c175.82$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.672245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes22c169.86$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7425127.1%68 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked No71c162.35$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6227820.9%58 W · 220 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No70c159.71$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5126461.7%163 W · 101 L+0.9wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2b…02e8backed No18c150.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed No49c148.28$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.12,55213.1%335 W · 2,217 L+4.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…4cc9backed No60c146.86$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1219527.7%54 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes19c145.42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3165623.2%152 W · 504 L+1.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No52c136.51$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6624932.9%82 W · 167 L-33.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xcc9e…6693backed Yes24c129.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.316631.8%21 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes60c106.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8642628.2%120 W · 306 L-38.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes27c103$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1942312.5%53 W · 370 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No78c102.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1859225.3%150 W · 442 L+2.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid-42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f92…15d2backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.51030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd521…de5abacked No55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Yes50c99.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.074839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes29c96.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5916023.1%37 W · 123 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes26c95.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2427920.4%57 W · 222 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed No79c93.34$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1312421.8%27 W · 97 L-0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes37c83.37$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1337830.7%116 W · 262 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x738f…ba83backed No58c83.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.871030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc245…bccbbacked No50c74.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.781241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59fe…14fdbacked No50c64.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.812420.8%5 W · 19 L-7.3wins-0.30per pick51cpaid-66.3%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x79e6…aaa1backed No70c64.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.961338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No79c64.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.695066%33 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0757…6daebacked Yes31c64.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+85.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf26a…e5b1backed Yes80c63.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.921662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb839…b8dbbacked Yes51c61.72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes63c54.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9510840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38c…1ee8backed Yes53c53.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff0f…c5efbacked Yes43c50.01$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+71.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdae8…8c95backed No56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf964…e898backed No71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3032016.6%53 W · 267 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc45…9c6ebacked Yes23c48.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.362245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No71c48.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2234039.7%135 W · 205 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes53c47.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.420532.7%67 W · 138 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc35f…f0e6backed Yes27c46.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.842330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d4…0787backed Yes27c46.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.84742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fe…bdaebacked Yes27c46.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+74.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e4…8171backed Yes27c46.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.011338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2821…399ebacked Yes26c46.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.26560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+103.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e70…9e8bbacked Yes26c46.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.26850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+64.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa539…c217backed Yes26c46.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.26850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+64%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes32c45.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.379735.9%286 W · 511 L-34.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf8…2094backed Yes23c45$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd9…d049backed Yes49c44.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked No50c41.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.924560%27 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2f7…1708backed Yes29c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.43342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3be0…9836backed Yes52c39.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb729…6602backed Yes51c37.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961c…a310backed Yes48c37.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ed…d9b5backed No48c30.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3350%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No56c29.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3151018.2%93 W · 417 L-89.7wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No62c29.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9139518.7%74 W · 321 L-57.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-60.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes59c28.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.821429.9%64 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee38…fd31backed No71c27.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.193971.8%28 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c28…4e7dbacked Yes72c26.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.442236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2480…1a9bbacked Yes41c26.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.46540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfac2…6d07backed Yes53c25.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.093010%3 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea77…ed25backed No72c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No41c24.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0699619.8%197 W · 799 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.