TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,384 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x448d…3adebacked Yes2c15,651$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.461233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca9…7e47backed Yes0c8,131$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae7c…487ebacked No51c1,757$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.212232.8%40 W · 82 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes47c1,481$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.3639723.2%92 W · 305 L-0.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked Yes42c1,424$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.9818123.8%43 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick24cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x860d…6071backed Yes50c1,057$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.924732.4%80 W · 167 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes13c759.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.971159.6%11 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No45c562.57$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.7362539.5%247 W · 378 L+48.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d29…cdabbacked Yes24c530.69$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9057222%126 W · 446 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes44c499.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22042628.2%120 W · 306 L-38.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes22c471.31$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9936113.3%48 W · 313 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes5c428.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.251,0535.6%59 W · 994 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…3e3abacked Yes69c419.35$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.84887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20cb…e2b0backed Yes49c390.48$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.72520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes43c370.46$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.122,55213.1%335 W · 2,217 L+4.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes49c331.8$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.582821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid+17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes51c318.84$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16225127.1%68 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked No49c290.12$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1727820.9%58 W · 220 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes20c250.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6722926.6%61 W · 168 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-48.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Yes48c249.18$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked No49c240.2$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.84850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…cba3backed Yes39c238.27$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes12c215.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1736018.6%67 W · 293 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x031d…87d1backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-45.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb8…f154backed No76c185.83$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-52.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x840e…b9edbacked No51c180.48$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+81.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed No58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61675%12 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes43c155.29$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.782737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ee3…12c6backed Yes50c155.28$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No73c153.36$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9160127.3%164 W · 437 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac16…4f44backed No48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785040%20 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…4cc9backed Yes49c147.36$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.419527.7%54 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked No57c145.62$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.934560%27 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe64d…5e09backed Yes13c137.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.132123.8%5 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick12cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No64c132.46$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3126461.7%163 W · 101 L+0.9wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d9…c06abacked Yes28c131.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.13540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No56c123.42$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.979735.9%286 W · 511 L-34.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes12c113.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.647727.3%21 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe183…3e16backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408053.8%43 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4732016.6%53 W · 267 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc5…aaa7backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29e4…16a6backed Yes28c99.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.84633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes20c97.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8765623.2%152 W · 504 L+1.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No49c97.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5959225.3%150 W · 442 L+2.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid-42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9349…0486backed Yes50c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.51533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee38…fd31backed No66c94$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.963971.8%28 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed No60c92.07$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0812421.8%27 W · 97 L-0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a83…1437backed Yes45c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed No48c79.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.624839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes23c79.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4742312.5%53 W · 370 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb729…6602backed Yes50c66.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes40c63.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3624932.9%82 W · 167 L-33.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No65c63.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2110840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes42c62.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2137830.7%116 W · 262 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes24c55.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2427920.4%57 W · 222 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4616…a910backed No51c53.46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1933670.2%236 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e92…1245backed Yes63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc724…3a19backed Yes67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.540%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5199…c819backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9907…ca66backed Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e3…01b9backed No58c49.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.811283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08fe…bdaebacked Yes35c46.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+74.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d4…0787backed Yes35c46.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.36742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2821…399ebacked Yes35c46.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+103.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e70…9e8bbacked Yes34c46.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.88850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+64.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa539…c217backed Yes34c46.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.88850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+64%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a7…95ebbacked Yes24c46.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.09812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7172…5e45backed Yes24c46.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.091040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+52.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…ff6ebacked Yes24c46.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.091040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12e6…d1d9backed Yes27c44.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0140%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes55c44.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0528723.7%68 W · 219 L-46.5wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-63%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No45c40.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1951845.9%238 W · 280 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked No76c34.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.444459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06d0…1e15backed Yes57c33.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x723e…083ebacked No37c33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.791921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-54.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Yes35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9955…85afbacked No63c29.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7518357.9%106 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d8…415cbacked No49c28.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.658565.9%56 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes49c26.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2151018.2%93 W · 417 L-89.7wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x79e6…aaa1backed No43c25.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.391338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed No76c19.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.649232.6%30 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked No70c15.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.463268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.