South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3487fae523dc4749b975248a7607ce4707c5d71d478ca527f899f068e8ca7940
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 59c | 13,413$7,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,524.68 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 40c | 9,906$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.25 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 0c | 4,079$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 1,315$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.34 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…9080backed Yes | 1c | 971.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 38c | 498.94$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 43c | 497.56$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.95 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 376.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Yes | 43c | 336.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…0bc7backed Yes | 40c | 287.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 5c | 264.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 228.45$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 181.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 61c | 177.1$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…6a0bbacked Yes | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 100.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 40c | 73.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Yes | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf8…2094backed Yes | 40c | 46.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Yes | 43c | 35.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 43c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 39c | 32.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 76c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 43c | 26.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 42c | 24.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 80c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 67c | 16.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.