South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c4db0a4a9343e3735046ac1739802ce5ce73eb2fc84e8fe8c840f88fb0b3804
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 12c | 6,082$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.92 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 1,157$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 9c | 874.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 26c | 490.23$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.19 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 3c | 428.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 352.26$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.46 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 33c | 180.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 165.45$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed No | 73c | 109.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 104.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 72c | 98.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 80c | 72.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 69c | 67.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed No | 23c | 61.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a83…635bbacked No | 26c | 61.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 51.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…a232backed Yes | 27c | 49.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 62c | 47.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 76c | 35.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 73c | 35.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 76c | 33.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.