AI · resolved market
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03675b6b673bfbf7716b35051d95cb6fcdc927096ca198221f5de4220af566c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 7,751$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…f2f1backed No | 23c | 4,327$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed No | 20c | 3,200$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 2,379$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 20c | 2,194$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 1c | 2,054$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…fbcabacked No | 69c | 1,942$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…c5f4backed No | 6c | 1,716$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…106cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,658$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…637dbacked No | 8c | 1,500$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 3c | 1,469$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 5c | 1,393$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 10c | 1,218$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.9 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…2dacbacked Yes | 31c | 998$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed Yes | 31c | 944$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 6c | 809.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed No | 51c | 760$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 2c | 652.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaace…24c9backed No | 4c | 600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 556.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd56…2677backed No | 17c | 553.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 21c | 552.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.09 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcd…abeebacked No | 19c | 525.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 11c | 518.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.51 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…72a1backed No | 10c | 511.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…af6cbacked No | 11c | 465.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…c1d5backed No | 12c | 445.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 7c | 432.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…9836backed Yes | 11c | 429.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +770.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e677backed Yes | 79c | 400$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…bb3fbacked No | 9c | 342.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…001cbacked No | 9c | 336.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…2805backed No | 6c | 325.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 18c | 322.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 11c | 300$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…1c25backed No | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…c304backed Yes | 37c | 269.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1c…4846backed No | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 7c | 261.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…cf15backed Yes | 79c | 256.03$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 41c | 243.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.67 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 11c | 229.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…b601backed No | 18c | 218.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…f0c4backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…513cbacked No | 8c | 198.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…a0b3backed Yes | 10c | 165.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…0559backed No | 67c | 148.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…76f9backed No | 7c | 134.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…25b4backed No | 73c | 133.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b4f5backed Yes | 10c | 132$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 18c | 127$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed Yes | 37c | 126.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked No | 63c | 126.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…7001backed No | 14c | 107.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Yes | 38c | 103.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…96cfbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…19c8backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 80c | 98.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 65c | 94.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 29c | 81.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b3…cbe0backed No | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 20c | 73.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…e34ebacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 66c | 61.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03aa…5821backed No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed No | 18c | 59.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…a9c4backed No | 21c | 50.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 33c | 43.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894c…9d8fbacked No | 71c | 43.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 29c | 38.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…3605backed Yes | 27c | 37.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 48c | 36.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 165 | 19.4%32 W · 133 L | -21.3wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 894 | 17.1%153 W · 741 L | -145.2wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…ddddbacked No | 65c | 32.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -23.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 63c | 27.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe199…b4ffbacked No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2987…8512backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12c…014cbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…0b64backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 72c | 18.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf8…2094backed No | 61c | 17.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.