Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6b379d35a6af0180e2e3cbc93dca584a729facfa018be0c554b81803861b464
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Esportsof Dorado Gaming, NRG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Dorado Gaming | 20c | 5,704$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.28 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed NRG Esports | 80c | 3,927$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.42 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Dorado Gaming | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Dorado Gaming | 18c | 2,115$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.22 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…262ebacked Dorado Gaming | 1c | 1,378$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Dorado Gaming | 20c | 1,237$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.59 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed Dorado Gaming | 14c | 854.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…6a47backed Dorado Gaming | 18c | 707.34$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.33 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Dorado Gaming | 18c | 339.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dorado Gaming | 13c | 269.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Dorado Gaming | 9c | 211.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 233 | 41.2%96 W · 137 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…1efebacked Dorado Gaming | 9c | 202.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…d068backed Dorado Gaming | 9c | 202.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Dorado Gaming | 12c | 197.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dorado Gaming | 18c | 163.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Dorado Gaming | 16c | 154.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Dorado Gaming | 14c | 151.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed NRG Esports | 78c | 149.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed NRG Esports | 78c | 148.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked NRG Esports | 78c | 138.81$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Dorado Gaming | 20c | 133.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed NRG Esports | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked NRG Esports | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 185 | 42.2%78 W · 107 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x601f…a0d6backed NRG Esports | 78c | 125.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Dorado Gaming | 14c | 124$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Dorado Gaming | 17c | 114.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Dorado Gaming | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dorado Gaming | 22c | 99.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Dorado Gaming | 13c | 99.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…5085backed Dorado Gaming | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 236 | 56.8%134 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dorado Gaming | 18c | 79.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1995…84c6backed Dorado Gaming | 17c | 71.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dorado Gaming | 17c | 60.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed NRG Esports | 78c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonNRG Esports won
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports - Game 1 WinnerDorado Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.