Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1de48ca869cd15d4cd5d788bf192a0ab3d22b905bf38ca67c9af870ab84a8a85

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Dorado Gamingof Dorado Gaming, NRG Esports
Resolved: Apr 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $93,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $96,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,240 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3334…69b0backed NRG Esports	0c	56,404$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Dorado Gaming	76c	5,167$3,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,214.83	599	52.8%316 W · 283 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed NRG Esports	80c	1,780$1,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,424.06	273	53.1%145 W · 128 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Dorado Gaming	20c	1,721$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,383.33	759	42%319 W · 440 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked NRG Esports	2c	1,547$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	409	16.1%66 W · 343 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e96…262ebacked NRG Esports	1c	1,298$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	19cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed NRG Esports	39c	999.99$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385	370	39.5%146 W · 224 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68e…193cbacked NRG Esports	16c	917.4$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.44	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked NRG Esports	36c	790.45$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.15	997	47.1%470 W · 527 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked NRG Esports	17c	759.16$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.93	1,536	62.6%961 W · 575 L	+157.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked NRG Esports	36c	685.39$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.21	165	55.2%91 W · 74 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c50…bbbbbacked NRG Esports	77c	636.13$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d3…1415backed Dorado Gaming	23c	629.37$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.62	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.77per pick	23cpaid	+334.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc573…61d1backed NRG Esports	47c	616.93$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.48	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-6.5wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dorado Gaming	13c	595.05$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.69	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x868b…1eb0backed Dorado Gaming	33c	581.79$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.93	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked NRG Esports	33c	581.34$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.96	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG Esports	16c	573.63$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.44	2,825	41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L	-14.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Dorado Gaming	78c	539.58$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.76	1,155	68.1%786 W · 369 L	+35.1wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Dorado Gaming	14c	479.9$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.49	1,216	44.4%540 W · 676 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed NRG Esports	30c	459.75$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.69	347	43.5%151 W · 196 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked NRG Esports	29c	328.89$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.75	592	41.9%248 W · 344 L	-16.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed NRG Esports	10c	261.41$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.9	77	28.6%22 W · 55 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13b5…7e1cbacked NRG Esports	19c	236.51$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.94	107	66.4%71 W · 36 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked NRG Esports	11c	200.4$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.51	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed NRG Esports	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1,521	50.6%769 W · 752 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d07…8b9ebacked Dorado Gaming	12c	199.98$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.98	440	47.5%209 W · 231 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d18…3d29backed NRG Esports	24c	198.83$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.72	248	45.2%112 W · 136 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed NRG Esports	24c	190.86$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.48	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed NRG Esports	15c	189.78$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.11	288	27.4%79 W · 209 L	-30.6wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed Dorado Gaming	68c	169.99$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.8	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3026…80fbbacked NRG Esports	12c	156.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.77	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed NRG Esports	34c	153.36$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.86	448	43.8%196 W · 252 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed NRG Esports	9c	148.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.71	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	-13.2wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed NRG Esports	33c	145.5$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.69	394	47.2%186 W · 208 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…5792backed Dorado Gaming	77c	140.04$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.53	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	66cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed Dorado Gaming	21c	126.58$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Dorado Gaming	59c	112.51$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…d068backed NRG Esports	24c	111.02$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG Esports	30c	105.78$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.24	2,341	40.3%943 W · 1,398 L	-61.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed NRG Esports	29c	105.72$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.71	178	38.8%69 W · 109 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x351a…f836backed NRG Esports	15c	97.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.37	168	63.7%107 W · 61 L	+11.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed NRG Esports	30c	96.06$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.58	441	29.5%130 W · 311 L	-45.9wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-48%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked NRG Esports	28c	95.68$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.79	434	42.4%184 W · 250 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed NRG Esports	26c	95.54$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	1,539	43.7%673 W · 866 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Dorado Gaming	60c	92$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.72	421	24.7%104 W · 317 L	-51.1wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-47%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9b70…1efebacked NRG Esports	33c	91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.03	72	50%36 W · 36 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Dorado Gaming	67c	88.83$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.31	753	42.5%320 W · 433 L	-14.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf012…7354backed NRG Esports	28c	86.22$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.92	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Dorado Gaming	51c	85$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.65	95	37.9%36 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Dorado Gaming	64c	85$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.9	2,905	38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L	-118.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Dorado Gaming	17c	84.59$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.27	1,241	34.7%431 W · 810 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed NRG Esports	23c	83.71$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	211	50.7%107 W · 104 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Dorado Gaming	51c	80$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.2	253	40.7%103 W · 150 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Dorado Gaming	59c	67$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.33	432	33.8%146 W · 286 L	-20.6wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked NRG Esports	29c	66.03$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.15	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a9…5091backed NRG Esports	76c	63.94$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Dorado Gaming	73c	60$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	140	32.1%45 W · 95 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7c…c4c5backed NRG Esports	19c	55.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	212	67%142 W · 70 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+11%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf992…8436backed NRG Esports	34c	55.7$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Dorado Gaming	53c	52.84$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.89	331	24.2%80 W · 251 L	-33.2wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb9f…36dfbacked NRG Esports	46c	52.42$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	586	49.8%292 W · 294 L	+15.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Dorado Gaming	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	572	22.7%130 W · 442 L	-48.9wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed Dorado Gaming	73c	40$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	113	61.9%70 W · 43 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed NRG Esports	34c	38.51$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.09	282	46.5%131 W · 151 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Dorado Gaming	73c	38$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.26	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-6.1wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Dorado Gaming	51c	37.16$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.21	104	35.6%37 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed Dorado Gaming	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Dorado Gaming	51c	27$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.23	597	40.7%243 W · 354 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Dorado Gaming	51c	27$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.23	726	37.7%274 W · 452 L	-23.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda5…2471backed Dorado Gaming	67c	26.31$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.73	237	69.6%165 W · 72 L	+30.0wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Dorado Gaming	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	350	48%168 W · 182 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Dorado Gaming	58c	19.44$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.13	73	27.4%20 W · 53 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonNRG Esports won
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports - Game 2 WinnerNRG Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event