TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Team Falcons44c18,091$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,091.1916443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Legacy58c17,620$10,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,247.216245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Legacy56c11,110$6,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,166.0515947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons56c9,964$5,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,33650054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons42c7,268$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,196.93,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Legacy62c4,605$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,852.9866851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Legacy33c3,339$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.9325655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed Legacy59c2,627$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.864542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Legacy52c2,278$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.1214042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Team Falcons38c2,000$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.8218254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons41c1,519$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.272,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Team Falcons38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93029839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Legacy60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9924935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Legacy58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.991,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Team Falcons38c1,400$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.9931345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b50…1db2backed Team Falcons38c1,250$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.165950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons42c1,186$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.871,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Legacy61c895.8$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55046165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Legacy61c887.94$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.6512950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Legacy56c850$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47626341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Legacy62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked Legacy62c644$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.2838051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Falcons42c624.85$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.8561338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x692b…1550backed Team Falcons36c624.34$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.584961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Legacy58c514.8$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5821246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Legacy49c500$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.662,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons51c480.86$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6235341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Falcons37c420.67$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.3763541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Legacy62c399.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24838954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x648a…c789backed Team Falcons39c368.83$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Team Falcons63c347.08$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6125634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Legacy59c336$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2413049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Legacy60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Team Falcons42c329$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.0234943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4759…dc6ebacked Legacy64c315$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.64870.8%34 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy63c310.89$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.155,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Team Falcons64c269.98$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.091,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Legacy62c265.15$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3933354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed Team Falcons38c263$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0616350.3%82 W · 81 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d01…ccfbbacked Team Falcons38c260$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Team Falcons39c257$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7727744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Team Falcons39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4114044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Team Falcons38c244.21$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4135839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Legacy60c241.67$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1452948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+56.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons38c240$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.848845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Team Falcons55c234.89$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8511148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f20…70d9backed Legacy64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Team Falcons41c190.24$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2449941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Legacy58c189.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106150.8%31 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Legacy28c188.82$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.231,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd2…f5c4backed Team Falcons65c170$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.52661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Legacy59c160.23$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5426743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Team Falcons38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9381246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Legacy37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.534036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Team Falcons69c145.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8515164.2%97 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Legacy50c138$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6950947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Team Falcons38c129.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9520145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Falcons37c122.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4854543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed Legacy35c121.14$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.327546.7%35 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc559…498abacked Team Falcons39c120.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.513751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Team Falcons39c115.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9349935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed Team Falcons39c110.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.38637.2%32 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Team Falcons41c110.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.988246.3%38 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed Team Falcons42c109.83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.71764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Legacy57c105.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0438848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd8…1faabacked Legacy59c105.08$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52c5…5878backed Team Falcons37c102.47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5614346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Legacy63c102.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5661154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed Team Falcons36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646333.3%21 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Team Falcons38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6234742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Legacy54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5426246.9%123 W · 139 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Legacy62c99.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5912856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Team Falcons41c90.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2410847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Team Falcons45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8918347.5%87 W · 96 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Team Falcons38c84.51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.435947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Legacy32c81.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8825747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe45e…b135backed Team Falcons41c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.313835.5%49 W · 89 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons42c69.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.12,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd9…be42backed Team Falcons77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0010…c3a8backed Team Falcons67c64.92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7431673.7%233 W · 83 L+23.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Legacy61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.691648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86ab…1e69backed Team Falcons38c58.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+161.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Team Falcons42c50.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4821351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc304…c6bbbacked Legacy60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010449%51 W · 53 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Team Falcons41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.786854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Team Falcons47c48.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4817654.5%96 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Team Falcons62c48.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4119658.2%114 W · 82 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Team Falcons37c47.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0667750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9c8…5312backed Team Falcons41c44.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.391855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Team Falcons73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.144675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Team Falcons38c41.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Legacy62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Falcons55c40.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.151,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e23…94b2backed Team Falcons46c39.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.371681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.32per pick49cpaid+69.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Legacy59c38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4221159.7%126 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe54f…49dabacked Team Falcons45c35.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.573548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Legacy58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1538754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked Team Falcons62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2626457.2%151 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Team Falcons42c32.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.571855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe377…dc67backed Team Falcons58c31.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.031560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.