TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Legacy31c15,716$4,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,854.733343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons72c10,000$7,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.9250054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons76c8,122$6,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.173,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked Team Falcons69c6,786$4,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.666947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Falcons69c5,119$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.946149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked Legacy20c5,053$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008748.3%42 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Legacy28c4,538$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.615947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Legacy27c4,171$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.1587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Legacy24c3,766$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.1163157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed Legacy31c3,500$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.994748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Legacy29c3,400$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98621424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Team Falcons71c3,339$2,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.3125655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Legacy26c3,120$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.832,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons68c2,896$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.6676058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons67c2,865$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.45,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Falcons65c2,750$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.545455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee21…6f5fbacked Legacy13c2,351$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3081233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Legacy27c2,344$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.861,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Legacy24c2,314$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.572,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Legacy33c2,122$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70917948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Legacy30c2,035$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.342,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy37c2,004$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.045,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Legacy14c2,000$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.411,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Legacy28c1,798$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.5213952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Legacy30c1,752$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.9140140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Team Falcons70c1,620$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48625248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Legacy31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005052%26 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Team Falcons71c1,221$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.1622365%145 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Legacy29c1,175$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.7911435.1%40 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Legacy34c1,153$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8610635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Legacy29c1,025$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6753444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30064852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Legacy31c968.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Team Falcons71c958.53$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.076654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Legacy5c894$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.721519.1%41 W · 174 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons71c831$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.9960953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Legacy25c773$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.253,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed Team Falcons71c728$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.1217054.7%93 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Team Falcons69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6414363.6%91 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Team Falcons69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6411061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Team Falcons76c700.02$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Legacy19c656.14$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.734,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed Legacy37c617.53$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23019238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Falcons72c600.07$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.531,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Legacy18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Legacy13c520$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.546042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Legacy27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c07…08c5backed Team Falcons69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1555438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Team Falcons71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14511265.2%73 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Legacy34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17028738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Falcons78c468.32$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.323,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Legacy11c440$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.814037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Legacy32c439.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Legacy28c428.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1261034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed Team Falcons69c419.59$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0727961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Team Falcons64c411.44$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.122334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Team Falcons67c379.97$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.791,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Legacy7c357.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.011,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Legacy6c350$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2141716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Team Falcons72c329.82$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6567372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Legacy34c311.52$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3655843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed Team Falcons70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed Legacy10c299.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons67c299.98$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.991,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda44…2e5abacked Team Falcons69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Team Falcons73c287.67$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6740048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Legacy32c286.38$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6439548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Legacy5c286.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3218338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Team Falcons70c284.83$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4522654.9%124 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Legacy13c276.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.422,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Legacy18c264.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.428443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e9…d246backed Team Falcons76c261.62$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7926368.8%181 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c44…4b9dbacked Legacy12c255.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Team Falcons70c252.19$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.883748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed Legacy5c250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.542831.3%134 W · 294 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Team Falcons69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.58354.2%45 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Legacy11c230$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.341516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Legacy8c222.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.023,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x962d…dc4cbacked Team Falcons73c213.59$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.718151.9%42 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Team Falcons70c211.93$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5819857.6%114 W · 84 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Team Falcons71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.278138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Team Falcons72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5647165.2%307 W · 164 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Legacy18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Legacy18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3669624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed Legacy12c199.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249940.4%40 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Team Falcons76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3740558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Team Falcons71c187.41$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1138456.3%216 W · 168 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed Legacy33c171.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.612749.6%63 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Legacy30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…52d2backed Team Falcons76c158.32$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.727959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Legacy21c154.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2240141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Legacy20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons68c142.46$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.272,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Team Falcons76c132.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2135460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Legacy33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Team Falcons67c108.28$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.738246.3%38 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Legacy14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Falcons63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Falcons70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.