TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,888

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Legacy9c22,882$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.1463157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons64c7,930$5,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.7633343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Legacy41c4,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed Legacy36c3,500$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2604748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Legacy37c2,432$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90011435.1%40 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd23f…0b63backed Legacy40c2,208$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.242259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Legacy12c2,131$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.263,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Legacy13c2,116$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.776,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Legacy6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Legacy6c1,873$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.414,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Legacy36c1,870$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.625052%26 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Legacy26c1,783$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.7761034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy43c1,745$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.455,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Legacy38c1,640$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.0376058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Legacy38c1,614$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.3145639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Legacy32c1,578$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51046165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb20b…a3e1backed Team Falcons60c1,179$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.493836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Legacy39c1,105$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.2510250%51 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons62c1,091$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.5860953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Legacy39c1,030$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Legacy38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38039548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Legacy1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Legacy39c984.41$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.0855843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Legacy12c906$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.482,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Legacy12c892.88$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.034,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked Legacy16c850.66$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1820935.4%74 W · 135 L-21.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Legacy27c800$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3526341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Legacy2c798.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.661,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Legacy2c769.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6687047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Legacy37c620.32$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.482,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed Team Falcons62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22818056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Legacy37c599.91$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9714042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons61c597.5$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.032,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Legacy18c510.94$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011057.3%63 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Team Falcons59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.471662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Legacy42c502.58$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Falcons58c500.01$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2106851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd4…5aaebacked Team Falcons71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19076748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Falcons57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21540140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Team Falcons62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19011265.2%73 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Legacy39c499.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19528738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Legacy29c460.59$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5714037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Legacy5c426.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Legacy13c412.47$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.894,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed Legacy11c399.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4641645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Legacy18c398.47$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7725634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Team Falcons59c398.3$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.344343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Legacy38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c07…08c5backed Legacy34c380$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.25438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Legacy13c377.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.464,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Legacy12c374.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.056654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Legacy22c338.21$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.751,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Team Falcons57c322.45$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6553746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Legacy38c312$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5899148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43dc…e505backed Team Falcons63c290.48$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.486960.9%42 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e82…4cfbbacked Team Falcons72c266.67$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.674240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Team Falcons60c263.21$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.238246.3%38 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8837…17aabacked Legacy11c253.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.297745.5%35 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23b4…48dabacked Legacy38c243.9$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6810942.2%46 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6f0…7b5bbacked Legacy28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c44…4b9dbacked Legacy11c177.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Team Falcons60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+56.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Team Falcons59c166.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.197234.7%25 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76d4…c512backed Legacy12c163.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.976232.3%20 W · 42 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Legacy13c153.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Legacy16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.562538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Legacy18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2734036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e9…b13abacked Legacy16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419954.3%108 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Team Falcons62c148.84$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5619857.6%114 W · 84 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons64c145.96$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.492,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Team Falcons71c140.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8567372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Legacy38c140$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.253859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07ad…e7c3backed Legacy22c135.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Legacy27c128.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3546042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Legacy40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f72…b128backed Legacy38c123.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.017960.8%48 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Legacy40c112.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4521752.5%114 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Falcons57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed Legacy11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.517617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffdc…ce87backed Legacy11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Legacy16c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.441516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Legacy38c78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4867750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Legacy35c77.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.094,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92c…a387backed Legacy24c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710040%40 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Legacy15c65.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Team Falcons58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.216741.9%70 W · 97 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed Legacy38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030039.7%119 W · 181 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Legacy39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027947.3%132 W · 147 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Team Falcons73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.510252%53 W · 49 L-12.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed Legacy38c48.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3142831.3%134 W · 294 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1508…0648backed Legacy42c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.167243.1%31 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Team Falcons62c45.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1620457.8%118 W · 86 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6347…3047backed Legacy41c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4518145.9%83 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe99b…f212backed Legacy39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.67160.6%43 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Legacy39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.621650.9%110 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…0a5dbacked Team Falcons59c36.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.165100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0010…9ee3backed Team Falcons59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.98668.6%59 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Team Falcons59c32.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.498149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.