CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83b6285eed62cf20fe480919bfa607d114149665b8961417a4bdd2514ebb8ae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 2,636$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.05 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 47c | 683.23$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.03 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 42c | 679.23$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.46 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 54c | 599.97$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 26c | 577.67$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.59 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 18c | 498.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Over | 48c | 421.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.49 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 18c | 388.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 29c | 329.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 45c | 120.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 389 | 45.8%178 W · 211 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 51c | 52.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Over | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Over | 47c | 49.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Over | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…6758backed Over | 49c | 30.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 68c | 22.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…e023backed Under | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 72c | 18.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group ATeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.