Lol · resolved market
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c405a4a19d8271210e1268447b709734e19eb11a3e6777e376273306484a3ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Winthrop Universityof Apex Mission Impossible, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e96…262ebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 1c | 1,838$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 23c | 831.29$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.93 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…5489backed Winthrop University | 77c | 734.31$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…d59dbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 23c | 726.51$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 11c | 532.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 10c | 367.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Apex Mission Impossible | 10c | 247.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Apex Mission Impossible | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Winthrop University | 76c | 130.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Apex Mission Impossible | 11c | 115.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Apex Mission Impossible | 12c | 99.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Winthrop University | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 1,012 | 47%476 W · 536 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 22c | 65.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Winthrop University | 41c | 64.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…e115backed Apex Mission Impossible | 51c | 57.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Apex Mission Impossible | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Winthrop University | 77c | 46.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Winthrop University | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 253 | 31.2%79 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Winthrop University | 68c | 36.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1995…84c6backed Winthrop University | 55c | 35.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…1c4abacked Winthrop University | 64c | 32.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Apex Mission Impossible | 34c | 31.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonWinthrop University won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University - Game 1 WinnerWinthrop University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.