Us Midterms · resolved market
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf23716a3fdb338cdc046144994d9b451cc8d7a7a7d1d3296e4252499a2edc1f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,407,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,234,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,407,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 103,283$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.67 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…4f1bbacked No | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 2c | 84,474$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 8c | 83,871$6,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,649.89 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed No | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed No | 0c | 44,584$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 67c | 33,775$22,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,158.7 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 37c | 21,329$7,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,944.12 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked No | 2c | 20,125$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…4d42backed Yes | 80c | 20,081$15,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 46c | 19,930$9,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,807.23 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 31c | 18,195$5,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,597.59 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 33c | 17,555$5,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,858.76 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…dc5ebacked No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 47c | 13,511$6,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,410.68 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 11c | 13,003$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.21 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 50c | 12,956$6,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,532.98 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…fd3abacked Yes | 63c | 12,525$7,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 21c | 12,373$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,736.23 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 11,918$5,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,586.34 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 6c | 10,689$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,068.84 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…9712backed No | 19c | 9,055$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 39c | 8,468$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 8,400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 79c | 7,339$5,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,793.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 9c | 7,256$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,580.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…5c1abacked Yes | 63c | 7,116$4,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 4c | 7,090$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,777.78 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc002…6f57backed No | 1c | 6,400$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 21c | 6,367$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.57 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 38c | 5,990$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,737.19 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 28c | 5,915$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.45 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…df37backed Yes | 38c | 5,576$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 78c | 5,285$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.61 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…13f2backed No | 1c | 5,200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Yes | 75c | 5,046$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed No | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…6b7bbacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 53c | 4,995$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 51c | 4,453$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.77 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 3c | 4,400$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed No | 77c | 3,838$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 49c | 3,788$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.31 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 32c | 3,722$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.1 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 36c | 3,705$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 80c | 3,700$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 63c | 3,683$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.82 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 3,680$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.54 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 3,478$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.31 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…7f76backed Yes | 63c | 3,244$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…a9fabacked Yes | 40c | 3,238$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 58c | 3,009$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.38 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 45c | 2,725$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.38 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 46c | 2,683$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.33 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…209cbacked Yes | 75c | 2,673$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 33c | 2,620$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 34c | 2,550$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.75 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 53c | 2,544$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.16 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 7c | 2,517$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 4c | 2,456$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 36c | 2,311$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 68c | 2,256$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.63 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…4fb2backed Yes | 74c | 2,209$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…3fbfbacked Yes | 46c | 2,200$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 66c | 2,154$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.78 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 70c | 2,049$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.03 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 66c | 2,038$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.89 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 40c | 2,011$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.14 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 75c | 2,010$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.79 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 56c | 1,987$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.62 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 80c | 1,982$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.74 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 1,931$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.86 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 72c | 1,859$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.64 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 60c | 1,782$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.67 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 50c | 1,773$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.28 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 24c | 1,739$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194a…0f76backed Yes | 4c | 1,658$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +554%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…d3d2backed No | 9c | 1,654$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,635$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 10c | 1,632$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.91 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 65c | 1,618$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.88 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff75…0effbacked Yes | 66c | 1,403$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 57c | 1,356$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 6c | 1,347$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.57 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…e42dbacked No | 8c | 1,309$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5082…049dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,300$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 57c | 1,264$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.94 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 46c | 1,238$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.94 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…062ebacked No | 57c | 1,219$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…9e52backed No | 11c | 1,184$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 35c | 1,170$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2a…8371backed Yes | 42c | 1,160$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 12c | 1,100$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.3 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…97c5backed Yes | 52c | 1,062$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 46c | 1,055$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Yes | 29c | 1,048$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed No | 37c | 1,023$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…9b1abacked No | 11c | 1,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 35c | 941.65$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.