Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x392509ca6bf61a9725070926ded0217dd8a8aea4c1c17421c00596bc2fc45b2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 53c | 15,072$7,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,968.06 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 39c | 10,033$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.22 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes | 59c | 7,057$4,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 42c | 4,795$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.04 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 48c | 4,323$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.45 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 53c | 4,311$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.92 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 51c | 3,623$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.63 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 45c | 2,050$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.5 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 41c | 962.1$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.56 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 49c | 957.51$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.45 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 54c | 830.71$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.56 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 49c | 675.01$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.26 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 65c | 599.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 5c | 556.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 531.62$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.45 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 48c | 496.07$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.11 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 35c | 469.86$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.57 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 39c | 450$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 41c | 450$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.54 | 139 | 19.4%27 W · 112 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 47c | 403.47$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf607…afa9backed No | 57c | 400$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 57c | 372.45$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.15 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…2b63backed No | 51c | 307.02$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.58 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 31c | 300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 55c | 299.3$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 42c | 259.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 36c | 249.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed No | 60c | 221.7$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…ed19backed Yes | 56c | 212.69$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed No | 50c | 195$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac8…f4eabacked No | 51c | 178.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 154.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0c…6316backed Yes | 51c | 151.61$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 39c | 145.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 57c | 144$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 11c | 134$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 9c | 133$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 44c | 121$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed No | 49c | 115.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…85a2backed Yes | 51c | 111.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Yes | 45c | 100.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +80%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…61b4backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed No | 39c | 98.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 18c | 97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 55c | 92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Yes | 47c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…3f05backed Yes | 53c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 54c | 80.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 60c | 77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 60c | 74.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 56c | 73.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked Yes | 56c | 70.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed No | 52c | 69.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 55c | 66.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf44…74d8backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 46c | 65.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd542…f187backed Yes | 50c | 64.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 40c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…6b73backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…6f28backed Yes | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6c…5679backed Yes | 52c | 53.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ef…e466backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 41c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 54c | 47.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 57c | 45.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…880abacked Yes | 45c | 44.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 34c | 42.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4593…49cabacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…9689backed No | 49c | 40.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 40c | 40.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed No | 61c | 39.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed No | 47c | 35.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 73c | 34.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…610cbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes | 49c | 32.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 54c | 29.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fee…2e1abacked No | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 50c | 28.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked No | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?this page
- Will Darline Graham Nordone place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No won
- Will Duke Buckner place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No won
- Will Henry McMaster place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No won
- Will Mark Lynch place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No won
- Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.