World Politics · resolved market
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0d956cfe4b9d79284f703c1de3112c4f0d5a33cbc2b4234973cfd8dcb3f59f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $740,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $777,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $740,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7456…5148backed No | 15c | 14,353$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.33 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 5c | 13,166$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.55 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…3e90backed No | 8c | 12,223$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 80c | 11,203$8,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.78 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed No | 3c | 10,580$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…88a5backed No | 26c | 10,372$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.34 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -87%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 7c | 9,546$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.28 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 7c | 9,123$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.77 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 7,524$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.61 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…fbfabacked No | 10c | 7,411$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Yes | 73c | 6,281$4,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.77 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed No | 10c | 6,082$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…d171backed No | 5c | 5,937$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…16e7backed No | 9c | 5,543$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 19cpaid | +126%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd956…c217backed No | 10c | 5,160$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 7c | 5,110$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.76 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 6c | 4,970$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.3 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…4d3fbacked No | 20c | 4,743$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +139%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 4,690$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.57 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a7a2backed No | 5c | 4,684$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 7c | 4,544$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.94 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8f…d636backed No | 5c | 4,281$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 7c | 3,927$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.63 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…80febacked No | 14c | 3,879$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 7c | 3,578$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.47 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 3,451$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.9 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…ffb6backed No | 5c | 3,297$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 7c | 3,093$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 3,003$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.97 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…fbbfbacked No | 1c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,185.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 7c | 2,799$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cde…f6c6backed No | 7c | 2,723$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 7c | 2,657$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.91 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 7c | 2,653$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.31 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…7601backed No | 0c | 2,615$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 7c | 2,614$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.47 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked No | 19c | 2,104$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d38…d383backed No | 31c | 2,092$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 6c | 2,088$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.39 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 9c | 2,079$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.79 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…db7cbacked No | 7c | 2,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.42 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…35f1backed No | 8c | 1,991$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…81debacked No | 7c | 1,984$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked No | 6c | 1,948$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 4c | 1,935$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked No | 10c | 1,820$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked No | 6c | 1,789$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 7c | 1,761$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 1c | 1,759$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed No | 8c | 1,757$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…6bcbbacked No | 5c | 1,706$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…2308backed No | 6c | 1,654$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 5c | 1,630$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe4…1deabacked No | 5c | 1,547$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 23c | 1,509$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…65c8backed No | 8c | 1,473$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked No | 5c | 1,394$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 3c | 1,348$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked No | 2c | 1,300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed No | 4c | 1,239$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 1,057$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed No | 8c | 1,048$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e75…03c6backed No | 12c | 1,023$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 9c | 985.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…000cbacked No | 9c | 917.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed No | 5c | 889.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x830f…2a58backed No | 6c | 862$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 22c | 844.2$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…3ebcbacked No | 5c | 831.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 16c | 757.47$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.87 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…60b4backed No | 11c | 738.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 7c | 730.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb3…26aebacked No | 6c | 725.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 5c | 600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…b166backed No | 5c | 600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +1,102.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 10c | 519.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…b463backed No | 5c | 515.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…a6b7backed No | 5c | 506.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed No | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0d…7e11backed No | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8651…8a35backed No | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 16c | 484.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2609…c8a2backed No | 11c | 468.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255d…1f3dbacked No | 7c | 400.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 33c | 396.42$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 4c | 377$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde81…d44bbacked No | 12c | 374.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed No | 9c | 363.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed No | 15c | 360.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 79c | 355.59$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 10c | 345.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed No | 42c | 322.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 18c | 310.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed Yes | 80c | 307.01$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed No | 8c | 305.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…f816backed No | 4c | 297.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a82…9ff1backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?this page
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.