Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9da43fc13052a599af24f739f920b793eedc6614b68486b09e55375b27872724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,675 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d28…0ea8backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa360…7440backed Yes | 0c | 11,900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6045…b2e7backed Yes | 0c | 3,177$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…c3dabacked Yes | 1c | 2,081$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…14cfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +357.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4da2…41e5backed Yes | 12c | 1,831$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.55 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…24d3backed Yes | 3c | 1,103$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,070$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.7 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 13c | 907.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.79 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…45afbacked Yes | 13c | 665.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 12c | 658.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 12c | 595.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 16c | 579.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 13c | 534.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 15c | 518.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 12c | 454.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 234 | 7.3%17 W · 217 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 16c | 359.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 16c | 346.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 15c | 325.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 27c | 313.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 21c | 298.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 17c | 292.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 307 | 22.1%68 W · 239 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 28c | 289$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa258…6182backed Yes | 36c | 277.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…1f10backed No | 77c | 258.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 70 | 70%49 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 14c | 245.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…d8cfbacked No | 77c | 233.84$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 11c | 213.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 14c | 207.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5a…77e5backed Yes | 15c | 206.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…05babacked Yes | 16c | 204.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…eaa8backed Yes | 49c | 204.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 204.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 21c | 198$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…78a6backed Yes | 14c | 194.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eee…bac2backed No | 78c | 190$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 21c | 182.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 20c | 179.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…637fbacked Yes | 24c | 169.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 17c | 168.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 17c | 162.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 13c | 160.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf083…3428backed Yes | 13c | 151.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…dfb5backed Yes | 24c | 146.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 19c | 143.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b47…c0dabacked Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 77c | 138.82$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 11c | 137.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 24c | 136.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 12c | 134.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed Yes | 19c | 131.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8682…24e5backed No | 79c | 128.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 25c | 121.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…77e8backed Yes | 13c | 107.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 126 | 25.4%32 W · 94 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 20c | 106.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…b936backed Yes | 12c | 102.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…c66bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…10cbbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…66f2backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb69…9e45backed Yes | 17c | 97.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc38c…fd95backed Yes | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 14c | 94.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Yes | 15c | 89.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 25c | 80.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…48d3backed Yes | 38c | 79.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…989bbacked Yes | 27c | 76.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 16c | 74.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Yes | 14c | 73.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 27c | 71.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Yes | 19c | 70.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 244 | 14.3%35 W · 209 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed No | 55c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Yes | 18c | 68.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f59…9e40backed Yes | 26c | 67.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…fe58backed Yes | 22c | 64.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 18c | 64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…6b02backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 20c | 60.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…ae14backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed Yes | 26c | 59.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…72d0backed Yes | 25c | 57.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…d4cebacked Yes | 22c | 56.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 22c | 54.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 59c | 47.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 25c | 46.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 57c | 43.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…ee79backed Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…b8e3backed No | 78c | 41.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e9…15dcbacked Yes | 34c | 36.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b9…03e9backed Yes | 37c | 35.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed No | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…1e1abacked No | 69c | 28.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…d3edbacked Yes | 46c | 25.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 74c | 23.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…87acbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…6ea2backed No | 75c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on March 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.