Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27c7221e0b3dc8e611df662c4ba88cd9600c6c5b5c231d8fe03c0b06e2fa6c0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2dc…49f9backed Yes | 54c | 5,279$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,950$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 63c | 2,612$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.68 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 65c | 1,639$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.65 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 52c | 1,402$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.18 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 18c | 1,395$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.7 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 51c | 1,085$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.47 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 72c | 898.97$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.17 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 29c | 841.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.18 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 44c | 738.01$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.8 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 34c | 662.79$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.08 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 48c | 661.44$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.86 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 40c | 609$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.74 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed Yes | 20c | 580.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 18c | 575.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 68c | 418$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 19c | 400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 59c | 394.68$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 75c | 313.53$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked Yes | 67c | 302.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 66c | 301$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…e91fbacked No | 49c | 296.66$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 19c | 274.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 19c | 212.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 170$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 56c | 168$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…5062backed Yes | 47c | 158$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab57…e05fbacked No | 43c | 139.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 38c | 128.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 60c | 125.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 55c | 123.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 51c | 122.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked Yes | 18c | 119.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 38c | 110.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 45c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…8460backed Yes | 49c | 108$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 15c | 103.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 30c | 100.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…4d85backed Yes | 23c | 89.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 38c | 85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed No | 33c | 84.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 16c | 84.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed No | 70c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 39c | 73.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 69c | 71.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…1011backed No | 44c | 68.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 69c | 66.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 40c | 64.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked Yes | 19c | 63.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…4904backed Yes | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 62c | 59.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 29c | 51.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked No | 54c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 71c | 50.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…4f93backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e5…6d4abacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b0…c317backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Yes | 29c | 48.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…e321backed Yes | 46c | 47.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 38c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…9292backed No | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No | 70c | 42.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…cdddbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ee…a2e3backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…c246backed Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 32c | 37.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 45c | 36.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 52c | 34.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…5614backed No | 52c | 32.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed No | 49c | 30.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 52c | 29.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 46c | 27.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…b574backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…1e65backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…b31dbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…5a56backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78b6…bc74backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…f258backed No | 74c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 55c | 19.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed No | 58c | 19.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 68c | 16.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 15.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 95 | 78.9%75 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?this page
- Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?Yes won
- Will Evan Power be the FL-02 Republican nominee?No won
- Will Luke Murphy be the FL-02 Republican nominee?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.