Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9246acdcde124a76519843d4dab209d88206020e6b4b773e24088c09b4ec603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 28c | 3,598$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 1,339$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.73 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 72c | 1,156$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.6 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 75c | 667.04$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 15c | 299.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…70f8backed Yes | 27c | 248.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 18c | 240$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 223.53$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…edc2backed Yes | 13c | 216$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 138$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 15c | 128.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 109.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 73c | 105.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 100.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 73c | 37.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 73c | 37.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 27.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 74c | 26.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 23.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 72c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 74c | 16.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 76c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9089…aafebacked No | 74c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 73c | 13.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-01?Yes won
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.