Champions League · resolved market
Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6888ca4e71b01213ae091210ac3b43f90fe886b0b3f0c658f4b2d4efa719238
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Over | 3c | 4,523$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 36c | 1,382$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.98 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 35c | 1,324$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.4 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 17c | 936.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.28 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 77c | 658$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.34 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 636.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 39c | 527.65$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.78 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 61c | 447.62$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.57 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Over | 2c | 443.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 43c | 394.24$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.34 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 59c | 339.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…70f8backed Under | 62c | 320$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 37c | 250$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 57c | 245.54$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 32c | 244.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 37c | 238.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 38c | 229.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 12c | 225.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 39c | 116.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 40c | 110.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 61c | 94.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…685ebacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 61c | 67.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Under | 63c | 58.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 77c | 53.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 38c | 47.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 62c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Over | 38c | 46.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed Under | 57c | 42.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b5…ed56backed Under | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 34.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 41c | 26.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…38febacked Under | 57c | 22.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 3.5this page
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: FK Vardar Skopje O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: FK Vardar Skopje O/U 1.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: FK Vardar Skopje O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Kuopion PS 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Kuopion PS O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Kuopion PS O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Kuopion PS O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Vardar Skopje (-1.5)FK Vardar Skopje won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)FK Vardar Skopje won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-2.5)FK Vardar Skopje won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.