Champions League · resolved market
Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f0e0cbbade699c6433d46cd92f8998967901117e287bdbcb712cee720eae2fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 1c | 11,291$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 1,323$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.75 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,019$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.09 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 925.14$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.01 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 55c | 892.31$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.77 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 582.07$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.89 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 44c | 414.03$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.85 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 296.9$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.62 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 290.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 56c | 241.9$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…71e4backed Yes | 57c | 171$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 55c | 152.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 47c | 148.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 139.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 45c | 137$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…b29abacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 108.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked No | 43c | 103.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 57c | 81.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 42c | 77.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked No | 44c | 68.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 57c | 59.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 45c | 46.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 57c | 44.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Yes | 57c | 37.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Yes | 42c | 36.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 50c | 20.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: FK Vardar Skopje O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: FK Vardar Skopje O/U 1.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: FK Vardar Skopje O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Kuopion PS 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Kuopion PS O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Kuopion PS O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Kuopion PS O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Vardar Skopje (-1.5)FK Vardar Skopje won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)FK Vardar Skopje won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-2.5)FK Vardar Skopje won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.