Champions League · resolved market
Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8af46e477180e5287fde8414a7d7b290be50d118041a5c28d3a5c686b1e5737
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 73c | 1,983$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.09 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 64c | 1,247$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 779.76$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.66 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 33c | 741.83$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.31 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…0f5abacked Over | 70c | 605.33$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 475.28$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 48c | 460.07$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.12 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Over | 39c | 327.95$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.95 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 241.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 38c | 215.21$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.24 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 74c | 181.51$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 49c | 179.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 44c | 143$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…528dbacked Over | 60c | 142.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 74c | 133$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 28c | 109.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…a7debacked Under | 26c | 88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.49per pick | 34cpaid | +201.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 60c | 69.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…1e34backed Under | 47c | 66.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 72c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 74c | 43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…6849backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: FK Vardar Skopje O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: FK Vardar Skopje O/U 1.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: FK Vardar Skopje O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Kuopion PS 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Kuopion PS O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Kuopion PS O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Kuopion PS O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Vardar Skopje (-1.5)FK Vardar Skopje won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)FK Vardar Skopje won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-2.5)FK Vardar Skopje won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.