TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,514 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x122b…ac59backed Under8c6,250$500 inLost-$5006232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost-$30120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under10c2,463$256 inLost-$255.8172335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under15c1,941$295 inLost-$295.161,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under1c1,874$19 inLost-$18.7312039.2%47 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under6c1,487$90 inLost-$89.894334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under4c1,250$48 inLost-$48.2791537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12e3…7982backed Under2c1,238$25 inLost-$24.7650%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under6c1,176$72 inLost-$72.286048.3%29 W · 31 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under17c863.11$143 inLost-$143.166134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under7c591.39$41 inLost-$41.43735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+46.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over71c503.58$357 inWon+$146.341,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over79c379.85$300 inWon+$79.783369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under28c222.76$63 inLost-$63.077236.1%26 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under29c159.34$47 inLost-$475731.6%18 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under8c141.48$11 inLost-$11.091,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af8…db25backed Over72c139.82$100 inWon+$39.828100%8 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Under20c100$20 inLost-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc15a…5bd2backed Over75c30$23 inWon+$7.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Over78c20$16 inWon+$4.382176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over71c15$11 inWon+$4.351566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde05…e2d0backed Over80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.