TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,049

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,592 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5dca…e1d9backed Over0c31,045$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6460…13cebacked Over0c20,556$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over1c14,406$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.062060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa60a…1613backed Over0c12,742$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.74714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-62.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under80c5,000$3,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.476267.7%42 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c4,165$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.931,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over20c2,666$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.7238953.7%209 W · 180 L+21.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under79c2,491$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.256248.4%30 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over15c2,396$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.0744933.6%151 W · 298 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over37c2,198$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.621,07134.8%373 W · 698 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under60c1,745$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.666844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf06f…11f3backed Under60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.81118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-71.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over15c1,474$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2714736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+46.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over21c1,350$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.1774935.4%265 W · 484 L-30.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over22c1,152$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over59c1,130$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.7866446.2%307 W · 357 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over15c866.04$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8918643.5%81 W · 105 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under80c731.85$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4596837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over57c690.72$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.715143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over59c677.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under39c657.59$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.6528833.3%96 W · 192 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under41c631.2$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.169947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under41c577.98$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.0149840.4%201 W · 297 L-1.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over16c551.72$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2661437.5%230 W · 384 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over46c507.73$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.327236.1%26 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under79c432.96$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.925731.6%18 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Over21c382.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.92867.9%19 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+50%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdfc2…9343backed Under37c347.89$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c320.93$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7291032.6%297 W · 613 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb11c…db67backed Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Over13c286.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.021258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over22c267.39$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.53930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2f…c08dbacked Under43c265.12$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Over20c264.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.041154.5%6 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick27cpaid+84.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507739%30 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Under43c232$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.242040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over59c218.86$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4652246.7%244 W · 278 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c216.26$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3845452%236 W · 218 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed Under70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.291369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over16c200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312020%4 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-57.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12622552%117 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over60c199.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12039442.9%169 W · 225 L-23.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd0e…cdf0backed Over25c199.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.441723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid+88.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3b…8f52backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Over17c166.66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.332231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-49.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed Over17c166.66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.21926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011440.4%46 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over21c155.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.681668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.28per pick41cpaid+49.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Under38c119.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.144847.9%23 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+61.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over63c119.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2916148.4%78 W · 83 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Over22c113.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under49c107.54$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.91758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over18c103.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.032642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Over15c103$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.871421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+169.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed29…3024backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-51.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc23f…6c8abacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Under42c99.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Over17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over22c99.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.96953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over53c97.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.256645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Over21c95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.022147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over22c87.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.869144%40 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over62c85.77$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.367649.4%334 W · 342 L-15.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad9…fc71backed Over58c84.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under36c82.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.84663%29 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over23c76.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.512343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over20c75.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.173246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under78c73.93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.264845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Under75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.672857.1%16 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa8…a338backed Under36c65.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f14…b567backed Under77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Over40c63.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under80c62.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.527241.7%30 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.87342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over18c58.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.732626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over61c52.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2930949.8%154 W · 155 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119535.9%70 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed Over60c49.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Over25c49.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.421346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under39c46.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1521643.5%94 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Over61c41.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510952.3%57 W · 52 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.466141%25 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Over58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under74c33.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.712240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x15b6…a4fcbacked Over58c32.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under47c32.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.071154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under46c31.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.374740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over49c30.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under56c29.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.191936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc54…26edbacked Over60c26.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Under75c25.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.272030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under74c23.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9312442.7%53 W · 71 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under76c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.842572%18 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Under79c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.367363%46 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+98.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.